Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by August 31?Rafael Grossi
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The market prices a 0% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
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NO100¢
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4 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Grossi's claim about the status of negotiations and Iran's nuclear program In a joint interview with the newspapers "La Nation" and "Clarín", Rafael Grossi claimed that the nuclear file will be a second priority until the issue of the Strait of Hormuz and other issues related to regional developments are clarified. He added that at the current stage there is no negotiation channel on the nuclear issue, but he went on to clarify that the Agency's contacts with Tehran and Washington are still ongoing. The Director General of the International Atomic Energy Agency said: We are talking to the United States and even talking to Iran. In another part of the interview, Grossi added that the uranium reserves that were targeted during the military aggression of the United States and the Israeli regime are "basically located in the same place as they were during the 12-day war" and that the nuclear facilities have also suffered significant damage as a result of the military attacks. "They have been." He then pointed out the speculations raised about the possibility of Iranian nuclear activity at Mount Kalang, stating that there is not very strong evidence to prove this claim. Grossi said: "It cannot be ruled out, but there are also not very strong elements on the basis of which it can be confirmed that such work is being done."
Rafael Grossi, Director General of the International Atomic Energy Agency, said in an interview with the Argentine newspaper Clarin that the Iranian nuclear negotiations have been halted and that the nuclear file will be a second priority until the situation in the Strait of Hormuz is clarified. Grosi said about the Islamic Republic's nuclear program that uranium is "basically in the same place" as it was during the 12-day war and that nuclear facilities have also been severely damaged. He said that reconstruction of some of the infrastructure may have begun, but there is no solid evidence to confirm it. The Director General of the Agency said that the Islamic Republic's nuclear file remains one of the major unresolved issues and that the Agency is ready to resume its activities in Iran as soon as possible. Grosi added that the Agency is still talking to the United States and the Islamic Republic, but that Islamic Republic officials say that they will not make any progress on the nuclear file until the overall process of negotiations changes. It had.
Rafael Grossi: We are talking to the US and Iran Director General of the International Atomic Energy Agency: Nuclear talks have stalled and the situation regarding Iran is at a standstill. Until the fundamental issues - such as the Strait of Hormuz and others - are clarified, the nuclear issue is not a priority; therefore, at the moment, we have no channel for discussion. We are talking to the US and even to Iran. There is a conversation, but it is limited to their position - the Iranian position - that there is no progress until there is overall progress in the negotiations; this is the reality. Mizan on social networks @mizanplus
Grossi announces halt to Iran nuclear talks; no negotiation channel exists Rafael Grossi, Director General of the International Atomic Energy Agency, claimed that Iran's nuclear talks have been halted in the wake of regional developments and said that the agency's contacts with Tehran and Washington are continuing and there is no solid evidence of Iran's nuclear activity in Mount Kalang. Read the full text in the link below... @Nournews_ir
Where does the news lean?
0YES4NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 92%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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