Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by August 31?Donald Trump

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The market prices a 0% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

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23 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .

NOiranintl91%match100¢
White House Deputy Spokesperson Anna Kelly told Al-Sharq on Wednesday that no negotiations or talks with the Islamic Republic are underway or planned. She made the remarks in response to a question about the US government's message to Tehran conveyed by the Qatari Prime Minister. US President Donald Trump also announced an hour ago in an interview with Al Jazeera that there is no specific timetable for resuming talks with the Islamic Republic and that he is in no hurry to do so. Trump said: "Both US military strikes and economic pressure against the Islamic Republic are effective." He added that the US has achieved a great victory in the war and that Iran's economy is collapsing.
NOiranintl94%match100¢
On Wednesday, September 24, US President Donald Trump announced in an interview with Al Jazeera that there is no specific timetable for resuming negotiations with the Islamic Republic and that he is in no hurry to do so. The US President said: "Both US military strikes and economic pressure against the Islamic Republic are effective." He added that the US has achieved a great victory in the war and that Iran's economy is collapsing.
NOSemi-Official YJC News Agency93%match98¢+2%
The quagmire of war with Iran has turned Trump's trump card into an electoral threat. US President Donald Trump is approaching the November midterm elections with the Iran war at a costly stalemate and the crises in Ukraine and Gaza still unresolved, a situation that has seriously challenged his foreign policy record. According to Reuters, this situation is significant for Trump, who returned to the White House last year promising to play the role of a "peacemaker" and had placed the resolution of international disputes at the center of his second term. As for Iran, after weeks of trying to reach a diplomatic solution, Trump suspended negotiations with Tehran and announced on Wednesday the start of a new campaign called "economic warfare" against Iran. This action was taken in a situation where months of US military attacks have failed to force Tehran to accept the concessions that Washington wants. At the same time, continued inflation and rising gasoline prices due to the war against Iran have led to a decline in Trump's popularity. @YjcNewsChannel
NOIran's judiciary-run Mizan91%match98¢+2%
The quagmire of war with Iran has turned Trump's trump card into an electoral threat US President Donald Trump is approaching the November midterm elections with the Iran war at a costly stalemate and the crises in Ukraine and Gaza still unresolved; a situation that has seriously challenged his foreign policy record. According to a Reuters report, this situation is significant for Trump, who returned to the White House last year promising to play the role of a "peacemaker" and had placed the resolution of international disputes at the center of his second term in office. As for Iran, after weeks of trying to reach a diplomatic solution, Trump suspended negotiations with Tehran and announced on Wednesday the start of a new campaign called "economic warfare" against Iran. This action was taken in a situation where months of US military attacks have failed to force Tehran to accept the concessions that Washington wants. At the same time, continued inflation and rising gasoline prices due to the war against Iran have led to a decline in Trump's popularity. Mizan on social networks @mizanplus‏
NOiranintlbrk93%match98¢+2%
Al Arabiya Channel: Donald Trump has ordered negotiations with the Islamic Republic to be suspended for several weeks, and there is a possibility that this suspension will be extended.
NOalhadath93%match98¢+2%
Trump to Axios: Massive amount of oil is flowing out of the Strait of Hormuz US President Donald Trump revealed to Axios that a massive amount of oil is flowing through the Strait of Hormuz Trump added to Axios that "negotiating with the Iranians right now is a waste of time" The US president had already decided to cut off any current talks with Tehran, as reported by CNN yesterday Trump previously confirmed that he was not seeking to extend the 60-day deadline stipulated in the Memorandum of Understanding #From_the_Event
NOalarabiya93%match98¢+2%
Trump to Axios: Massive amount of oil is flowing out of the Strait of Hormuz US President Donald Trump revealed to Axios that a massive amount of oil is flowing through the Strait of Hormuz Trump added to Axios that "negotiating with the Iranians right now is a waste of time" The US president had already decided to cut off any current talks with Tehran, as reported by CNN yesterday Trump previously confirmed that he was not seeking to extend the 60-day deadline stipulated in the Memorandum of Understanding From Al Arabiya
NOalhadath94%match98¢+2%
US President Donald Trump: No negotiations with Iran at the moment, but that may happen at some point.
NOalhadath93%match98¢+2%
Donald Trump suspends talks with Iran; former Iranian president warns against "wasting the opportunity"
NOiranintl93%match98¢+2%
CNN reported that Donald Trump has made a fundamental change in his approach to war by ordering the cessation of any negotiations with the Islamic Republic and has distanced himself from the path of diplomacy. CNN wrote that after weeks of expressing optimism about achieving a positive development in relations with Tehran, Trump has finally concluded that these efforts have not been successful and has now adopted a new approach. Interview with Amir Giti, a member of the editorial board of Iran International
NORussian Media93%match98¢+2%
Donald Trump has changed his approach to Iran, abandoning negotiations and focusing on gradually increasing pressure on Tehran, CNN reports, citing a US official. According to the channel, the US president has instructed senior administration officials to stop negotiations with Iran. "White House officials recently told political allies they are changing their strategy" - moving from "hit it as soon as possible" to "strangle it" over time," the article says. Previously, Trump has repeatedly stated that diplomatic efforts with Tehran are progressing and a new agreement can be reached. The day before, the US president announced that there are no contacts with the Iranian side. More news about the conflict in the Middle East - on our channel in "Max".
NOiranintl93%match98¢+2%
CNN reported that US President Donald Trump has changed his strategy from trying to reach a quick agreement to gradually increasing pressure on Tehran by halting talks with the Islamic Republic. According to CNN, Trump has ordered senior administration officials to halt talks with the Islamic Republic and that no talks will be held until Tehran shows new signs of readiness to accept Washington's demands. He also announced that no talks with the Islamic Republic are underway or planned. CNN quoted US officials as saying that the White House is on the verge of imposing new and heavy sanctions on the Islamic Republic and is pursuing a strategy of "gradual increase in pressure." The report also noted Washington's concerns about a possible agreement between the Islamic Republic and Oman on managing traffic in the Strait of Hormuz, and wrote that the Trump administration opposes any agreement that would allow Tehran to control or collect fees from ships. American officials believe that economic pressure will eventually force the Islamic Republic to accept Washington's terms.
NOalhadath93%match98¢+2%
Washington informs allies it is changing its strategy toward Tehran... US official tells CNN: Trump instructed his top envoys to halt any negotiations with Iran A US official revealed to CNN that President Donald Trump expressed his displeasure at Iran's lack of willingness to implement his demands, coinciding with the expiration of the 60-day deadline stipulated in the "Memorandum of Understanding." The US official told CNN that Trump instructed his top envoys to halt any negotiations with Iran. The US official confirmed that the United States is moving toward gradually strangling Iran and imposing crushing sanctions. According to the US official's statements to CNN, Washington informed its allies that it is changing its strategy toward Iran. The US official confirmed that Trump wants a clear signal from Iran's leaders of their readiness to conclude an agreement. #From_the_Event
NOalarabiya93%match98¢+2%
Washington informs allies it is changing its strategy toward Tehran... US official tells CNN: Trump instructed his top envoys to halt any negotiations with Iran A US official revealed to CNN that President Donald Trump expressed his displeasure at Iran's lack of willingness to implement his demands, coinciding with the expiration of the 60-day deadline stipulated in the "Memorandum of Understanding." The US official told CNN that Trump instructed his top envoys to halt any negotiations with Iran. The US official confirmed that the United States is moving toward gradually strangling Iran and imposing crushing sanctions. According to the US official's statements to CNN, Washington informed its allies that it is changing its strategy toward Iran. The US official confirmed that Trump wants a clear signal from Iran's leaders of their readiness to conclude an agreement. From Al Arabiya
NOaa_arabic91%match98¢+2%
US President Donald Trump: — There are no talks or negotiations currently underway or planned with Iran — The naval blockade against Iran is in full force and effect — The Strait of Hormuz is open and operational, and all sea mines have been removed or destroyed
NOiranintl94%match98¢+2%
On Tuesday, August 17, US President Donald Trump posted a picture of the late Republican Senator Lindsey Graham on Twitter and wrote: "Notice the hat." In the picture, Graham is wearing a hat that says: "Make Iran Great Again." Trump simultaneously wrote in another post on Twitter: "There are no negotiations or talks with the Islamic Republic and no negotiations or talks are planned."
NOalarabytv92%match98¢+2%
US President Donald Trump: No talks or contacts are underway, and no meetings are scheduled with Iran. The naval blockade remains in place.
NOIranian Journalist93%match97¢+3%
US President Donald Trump said on Monday that he was in no rush to deal with Iran, citing “covert channels of communication with the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps.” He added: “We are talking directly to the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps.” He told Fox News that “Iran should raise the white flag of surrender” and noted that “the US naval blockade continues to put new economic pressure on the Iranian regime.” “They are great at poker... but they are dying,” he added. Earlier, the US president had stressed that “Iran cannot have a nuclear weapon under any circumstances.” The remarks come on the last day of the 60-day deadline for Islamabad's memorandum of understanding to reach a permanent peace agreement and the lack of progress in diplomatic efforts to end the conflict between Washington and Tehran. @VahidOOnLine The IRGC spokesman denied US President Donald Trump's claim that there is a direct, behind-the-scenes communication channel between the US government and IRGC officials. According to the Tasnim news agency, Hossein Mohebbi said: "There is no ongoing dialogue between IRGC officials and the Americans." He described Trump's statements as "fantasies" stemming from "illusions and nightmares resulting from defeat and despair in the war." @VahidOOnLine @VahidOnline
NOIranian Media92%match98¢+2%
New York Times: Iran War Has Become a Battle of Political Will and Economic Resilience US Media: The ceasefire that US President Donald Trump announced with Iran in June was supposed to lead to a broader agreement within 60 days to end the war and limit Iran's nuclear program, but that deadline, which expires on Monday, has effectively been shelved. The war has now become a contest of political will and economic resilience with no end in sight. There is little sign that Iran and the United States have held extensive talks on Iran's nuclear program since the June ceasefire, let alone reached a framework that is acceptable to both sides. isna.ir/xdWTrx @isna94
NOiranintl93%match98¢+2%
Foreign Ministry spokesman Esmail Baghaei said today that there are currently no negotiations with Washington, but Abbas Araqchi and Mohammad Baqer Qalibaf are scheduled to visit Pakistan. At the same time, Donald Trump told Axios that the US is in no hurry to negotiate and prefers to increase economic pressure on Iran by continuing the naval blockade. Interview with Mi'ad Maleki, former head of the US Treasury Department's Office of Sanctions Targeting
NOReuters Reporter94%match94¢+6%
DUBAI, July 27 (Reuters) - Iran said on Monday it was still in control of the Strait of Hormuz and not seeking to resume peace talks ‌with the United States, after President Donald Trump halted a two-week bombing campaign that his top brass told him had run its course.
NOFrench Media99%match86¢+16%
The United States bombs Iran again; Donald Trump toughens his stance
NOlefigaro.fr99%match87¢+15%
"They are sick": Donald Trump buries the ceasefire with Iran in the aftermath of US attacks

Where does the news lean?

63YES119NO86neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 93%.

What would make this resolve YES?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments. Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time. Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round. Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating. If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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