French Socialist Primary: First Round WinnerPhilippe Brun
ResolvedOutcome: No$395as of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
33 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Socialist Party primary: the Court of Appeal in turn rejects Philippe Brun's request for reinstatement
Socialist primary: The Court of Appeal rejects Philippe Brun's request for reinstatement
Socialist primary: The Court of Appeal in turn rejects Philippe Brun's request for reinstatement
Live: The Court of Appeal has also rejected Philippe Brun's request to rejoin the Socialist primary
Live: Philippe Brun excluded from the Socialist primary: Boris Vallaud asserts that the PS leadership "does not transform itself into a judge"
Presidential election 2027: The Socialist primary hit hard by the Philippe Brun affair
Socialist primary: Excluded MP Philippe Brun denounces "a setup" and an "Olivier Faure affair"
Live: #PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION MP Philippe Brun, whose request to be reinstated for the Socialist primary was rejected this morning by the courts, announces that he is appealing to the Paris Court of Appeal...
Socialist primary: excluded MP Philippe Brun denounces "a setup" and an "Olivier Faure affair"
Socialist primary: Excluded MP Philippe Brun denounces "a setup"
Live: "There's an Olivier Faure affair": Philippe Brun denounces his "political execution" and a setup after his exclusion from the primary
Live: Socialist primary: his exclusion from the ballot confirmed by the courts, Philippe Brun will speak at 11:15 am
Live: #PRESIDENTIAL This morning, the courts rejected MP Philippe Brun's request to be reinstated for the Socialist primary...
Live: #PRESIDENTIAL The court rejects the request for reinstatement of Philippe Brun, excluded from the socialist primary after accusations of violence.
Presidential election 2027: Philippe Brun will not be reinstated to the Socialist Party or the left-wing primary, the court rules.
Live: Socialist primary: Paris court upholds Philippe Brun's exclusion, his request for reinstatement rejected
BREAKING NEWS
Socialist primary: court rejects MP Philippe Brun's request for reinstatement
Left-wing primary: court rejects Philippe Brun's request to reinstate him to the Socialist Party
Presidential election 2027: Philippe Brun will not be able to participate in the Socialist primary, the court rules.
Socialist primary: court rejects MP Philippe Brun's request for reinstatement
Philippe Brun's exclusion from the Socialist Party primary: "It was a unanimous decision," says Olivier Faure, who cites "sufficiently strong evidence provided by the alleged victim."
Live: Olivier Faure "fully supportive" of the decisions to suspend Philippe Brun from the Socialist Party and exclude him from the primary
"Either he's very self-assured, or he's crazy": Philippe Brun's last-ditch attempt to rejoin the Socialist Party primary
2027 Presidential Election: Philippe Brun files an injunction to be reinstated to the Socialist Party and the left-wing primary
Socialist primary: Philippe Brun announces that a legal challenge is being examined to "obtain his reinstatement" and denounces "scheming within the Socialist Party"
Socialist primary: Philippe Brun announces that a legal appeal is being examined to "obtain his reinstatement" and denounces "schemers within the Socialist Party"
MP Philippe Brun, who was expelled from the Socialist Party, has launched an appeal to be reinstated to his party and participate in the primary.
BREAKING NEWS Socialist primary: Philippe Brun announces that a legal challenge is being examined this morning to "obtain his reinstatement"
Should Philippe Brun rejoin the Socialist Party primary after the violence allegations?: "Faced with the presumption of innocence, there is the presumption of truth for the women who speak out," declares Ségolène Royal, candidate in the Socialist primary.
LIVE
Jérôme Guedj believes the Socialist Party acted "too hastily" by excluding Philippe Brun from the Socialist primary
Live: Jérôme Guedj believes the Socialist Party acted "too hastily" by excluding Philippe Brun from the Socialist primary
"Extremely violent": Jérôme Guedj believes the Socialist Party acted "hastily" by excluding Philippe Brun from the Socialist primary.
"Extremely violent": Jérôme Guedj believes the Socialist Party acted "hastily" by excluding Philippe Brun from the Socialist primary.
Where does the news lean?
0YES35NO7neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 96%.
How did this market resolve?
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.
This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.
If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
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See all outcomes for French Socialist Primary: First Round Winner — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.