Who will be in the Burnham cabinet?Peter Kyle

ResolvedOutcome: NoVol$2KResolvedas of

Odds now

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

3 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .

NOGuardian Reporter93%match87¢+15%
Update on who has left cabinet so far: Rachel Reeves - who we're told was offered another big job but turned it down - David Lammy, Richard Hermer, Peter Kyle, Steve Reed and Liz Kendall. All expected really...
NOft.com94%match91¢+10%
Live: Peter Kyle resigns from government
NOnews.sky.com97%match96¢+4%
Live: Peter Kyle sacked as business secretary by Burnham

Where does the news lean?

0YES6NO0neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 95%.

Past moves on this market

Material odds moves (8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.

How did this market resolve?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is confirmed as a minister in the Cabinet of the United Kingdom formed as a result of Andy Burnham being appointed Prime Minister. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” To qualify, the individual must be appointed or reappointed to a cabinet position by the United Kingdom Monarch in the period between the official appointment of Andy Burnham as Prime Minister of the UK and the seventh day thereafter, 11:59 PM UTC. If the individual will continue to serve in a preexisting cabinet position without an explicit reappointment, their continuance in the Burnham cabinet must be confirmed by an official announcement or a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the specified timeframe to qualify. Any interim or caretaker cabinet position will not count toward the resolution of this market. To qualify, the listed individual must be appointed to a cabinet minister position. The position of an ordinary minister who also attends cabinet meetings, or any other unpaid ministerial position will not be considered for resolution. If Andy Burnham is not appointed as Prime Minister of the UK by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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