Will Peter Kyle be in the Burnham cabinet? Odds fell to 6% on Jul 20, 2026

Will Peter Kyle be in the Burnham cabinet? On Jul 20, 2026, 14:58 UTC, the market’s odds fell from 16.8¢ to 5.8¢ (-11 pts) within an hour of a news signal, one of a 2-source news cluster, from theguardian.com. The market has since resolved No.

How did the odds move?

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

Part of a 2-source news cluster, first seen Jul 20, 2026, 14:58 UTC. The triggering signal is listed first.

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of Aug 30, 2026, 17:18 UTC.

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Will Peter Kyle be in the Burnham cabinet? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

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