Who will be in the Burnham cabinet?Pat McFadden
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$1Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
7 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
From our great news desk • • Since Burnham has entered No10 he has made 12 appointments and spoken to 7 world leaders* • • *Appointments:* • 1. John Healey - Chancellor • 2. Ed Miliband - Foreign Sec • 3. Shabana Mahmood - Home Sec • 4. Yvette Cooper - Health Sec • 5. Pat McFadden - Work & Pensions Sec • 6. Louise Haigh - CDL + First Secretary of State • 7. Lucy Powell - Education Sec • 8. Angela Rayner - Housing Sec • 9. Jonathan Reynolds - Business Sec • 10. Lisa Nandy - Culture Sec • 11. Anneliese Midgley - Chief Whip • 12. Bridget Phillipson - Equalities Minister • • *Phone calls:* • 1. Donald Trump • 2. Volodymyr Zelenskyy • 3. Ursula von der Leyen • 4. Emmanuel Macron • 5. Mark Rutte • 6. Friedrich Merz • 7. Antonio Costa
Cabinet appointments so far: • John Healey - Chancellor • Ed Miliband - Foreign • Shabana Mahmood - Home Secretary • Louise Haigh - First Secretary of State, Chancellor of the Duchy of Lancaster and Minister for the Cabinet Office • Pat McFadden - Work and Pensions Secretary
Cabinet so far: • Chancellor - John Healey • Foreign - Ed Miliband • Home - Shabana Mahmood • Work & Pensions - Pat McFadden • Health - Yvette Cooper • CDL & First Sec of State - Lou Haigh
LATEST: • • Yvette Cooper MP becomes Secretary of State for Health and Social Care. • • Pat McFadden remains as Secretary of State for Work and Pensions.
Yvette Cooper becomes health secretary. • • Pat McFadden stays in the welfare brief
Live: Pat McFadden and Lisa Nandy in Downing Street
Live: Pat McFadden enters Number 10 - following first Burnham appointment
Where does the news lean?
7YES0NO1neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 94%.
Past moves on this market
Material odds moves (≥8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is confirmed as a minister in the Cabinet of the United Kingdom formed as a result of Andy Burnham being appointed Prime Minister. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
To qualify, the individual must be appointed or reappointed to a cabinet position by the United Kingdom Monarch in the period between the official appointment of Andy Burnham as Prime Minister of the UK and the seventh day thereafter, 11:59 PM UTC. If the individual will continue to serve in a preexisting cabinet position without an explicit reappointment, their continuance in the Burnham cabinet must be confirmed by an official announcement or a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the specified timeframe to qualify.
Any interim or caretaker cabinet position will not count toward the resolution of this market.
To qualify, the listed individual must be appointed to a cabinet minister position. The position of an ordinary minister who also attends cabinet meetings, or any other unpaid ministerial position will not be considered for resolution.
If Andy Burnham is not appointed as Prime Minister of the UK by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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