Will Pat McFadden be in the Burnham cabinet? Odds jumped to 93% on Jul 20, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: YesMove

Will Pat McFadden be in the Burnham cabinet? On , the market’s odds jumped from 78.5¢ to 93¢ (+14.5 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from news.sky.com. The market has since resolved Yes.

How did the odds move?

At match78.5¢
+5m95¢
+30m92.5¢
+1h93¢
1h move+14.5 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

Yesnews.sky.com98%match
Live: Pat McFadden enters Number 10 - following first Burnham appointment

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

Vol$1K

Follow this market

Will Pat McFadden be in the Burnham cabinet? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for Who will be in the Burnham cabinet? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.