Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
ResolvedOutcome: No$218Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
3 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf: We must use diplomacy and negotiation to achieve our interests... There is no reason to adhere to the memorandum of understanding with America if we do not benefit from it.
Live: Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, Iran’s Parliament speaker, said in a statement to the people of Iran on Wednesday that the country was engaged in an “existential war” with the United States, accusing Washington of seeking to overthrow the Islamic republic.
Live: Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, Iran’s top negotiator in the talks, accused the United States of bullying and violating its promises. “To be clear: Hit, and you’ll be hit,” he wrote on social media early Thursday. “The Strait of Hormuz will open only under Iranian arrangements, not American threats,” Ghalibaf said.
Where does the news lean?
0YES5NO1neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 97%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity.
The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify.
The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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