Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?Benjamin Netanyahu
ResolvedOutcome: No$94Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
3 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu told ABC News that the decision on how to proceed with the Islamic Republic rests with US President Donald Trump. He also denied reports that he is trying to encourage Trump to continue attacks on the Islamic Republic amid the talks. Expressing doubts about reaching an agreement with the Islamic Republic, Netanyahu said: “I don’t know if that’s an unlikely outcome, but I’m skeptical about the way Iran operates. They always lie, they always cheat, they always try to buy time. Is it possible that this behavior will change under enough pressure, including diplomatic and economic pressure? We can test that.” After meeting with Trump, he stressed that he believes the US president is leading the Washington-Israeli partnership, saying: “The reality is that we are partners and allies. He is the senior partner; it is the United States of America, and we must not forget that. "I am a junior partner, but I am the Prime Minister of Israel and I will defend the interests and security of my country whenever necessary."
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu expressed skepticism during his meeting with President Trump about the chances of reaching an agreement with Iran, and the two discussed increasing economic pressure on Iran "through kinetic and non-kinetic means," a senior Israeli official said in a briefing to reporters.
The Israeli Prime Minister's Office released images of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu meeting with US President Donald Trump, J.D. Vance, Marco Rubio, Steve Witkoff and Scott Bessant at the White House on Tuesday. A White House official told CNN that Netanyahu and Trump are expected to discuss the Iran war, progress in talks with Lebanon and efforts to expand the Abraham Accords. Fox News also reported that Netanyahu is expected to present information that he says shows the Islamic Republic is expanding its nuclear facilities, while Tehran continues to refuse direct talks with the US, despite Trump's optimism about diplomacy.
Where does the news lean?
0YES5NO1neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 93%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity.
The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify.
The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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