Iran leader end of 2026?Masoud Pezeshkian

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The market prices a 0% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

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What moved the odds?

20 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .

YESnytimes.com92%match0¢
Live: Iran’s president, Masoud Pezeshkian, has begun his speech at the General Assembly. He held up pictures of Iran’s former supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, who was killed on the first day of U.S and Israeli strikes on Iran on Feb. 28. He also held up a picture of Iranian schoolchildren killed the same day in U.S. airstrikes.
YESiranintl93%match1¢-100%
In a telephone conversation with Japanese Prime Minister Takaichi Sana, Masoud Pezeshkian said about recent developments, "The Islamic Republic has not acted outside international law." The head of state of the Islamic Republic stated in this conversation: "The Islamic Republic has in no way sought unrest in the region, and I hope that Japan's diplomatic efforts to establish peace and stability in the region will be fruitful." Pezeshkian also added that Israel and the United States "have caused the disruption of peace and stability in the region."
NOaa_arabic93%match100¢
Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian: Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei is in good health, contrary to reports of his illness. My meeting with Khamenei on Sunday was "fruitful" and lasted 7 hours. We discussed all issues and listened to Khamenei's directives.
NOalarabiya94%match100¢
Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian: I met with Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei for 7 hours and we discussed the repercussions of the war and sanctions.
NOalmayadeennews97%match100¢
Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian affirms that the country's security is indebted to the guidance of the martyred leader of the revolution, revealing details of his lengthy meeting with the Supreme Leader of the Islamic Revolution and the Islamic Republic, Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei. Here are the details #Iran
NOalhadath92%match100¢
Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian: My meeting with Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei lasted about 7 hours. I discussed with the Supreme Leader the living conditions of Iranians under the current circumstances. I addressed with the Supreme Leader the necessity of avoiding "creating disputes" and refraining from any statements outside this framework. For more, follow us on YouTube More details on Alhadath Net
YESalhadath93%match1¢-100%
Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian announces he will not resign and that he is at the service of the Iranian people.
YESalarabiya93%match1¢-100%
Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian announces he will not resign and that he is at the service of the Iranian people.
YESiranintl94%match1¢-100%
In a televised interview broadcast on Friday evening, Masoud Pezeshkian, the head of the Islamic Republic, said: "I have never resigned. If I resign, I will officially announce it." Pezeshkian also said: "I will stand up and tell the people about the obstructions." He also said about regional relations that the Islamic Republic's relations with its neighbors have improved, but there are challenges within the country due to differences in views on this matter. Pezeshkian said about the activation of the trigger mechanism that this action was the work of European countries and had nothing to do with US President Donald Trump. He added that the Islamic Republic reached an agreement with French President Emmanuel Macron in coordination with the leadership in New York, but the European countries ultimately activated the trigger mechanism.
NOalarabiya94%match99¢+1%
Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian: Communication with Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei is very difficult at the moment... and his presence is a positive thing for Tehran.
NOalarabytv95%match100¢
Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian: Communicating with Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei is very difficult, but his presence is a great asset for our continued existence.
NOalarabytv94%match100¢
Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian: Communication with Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei is very difficult at the moment, but his presence is extremely important for us to continue our work.
NOalarabytv95%match100¢
Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian: Communication with Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei is very difficult at the moment, but his presence is nonetheless a great asset that allows us to continue.
The Public Relations Office of the Leader of the Islamic Revolution has formally repudiated claims attributed to Ayatollah Seyyed Mojtaba Khamenei concerning the alleged resignation of President Masoud Pezeshkian, denouncing such assertions as "fundamentally false" and entirely devoid of truth. •
YESalarabytv93%match0¢
Following reports of his resignation, Masoud Pezeshkian confirms he will remain president of Iran. %A8%D8%B2%D8%B4%D9%83%D9%8A%D8%A7%D9%86-%D9%8A%D8%A4%D9%83%D8%AF-%D8%A7%D8%B3%D8%AA%D9%85%D8%B1%D8%A7%D8%B1%D9%87-%D8%B1%D8%A6%D9%8A%D8%B3%D9%8B%D8%A7-%D9%84%D8%A5%D9%8A%D8%B1%D8%A7%D9%86
YESaa_arabic92%match0¢
“If I were going to resign, I would announce it publicly. I will not resign and I will continue the struggle.” Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian denies reports of his resignation and affirms he will continue performing his duties.
NOiranintl97%match99¢+1%
On Saturday, July 17, Masoud Pezeshkian, the head of the Islamic Republic, called the message published by Mojtaba Khamenei "wise and unifying" and wrote on the X social network: "The message of the Leader of the Islamic Republic and his support for the heads of the three branches of government and the country's officials is the most important support and capital for protecting the national interests and pride of Islamic Iran." Pezeshkian added: "Adherence to the requirements of sacred unity and avoiding differences and divisions is the secret to victory at this historic juncture."
NOjerusalem_post99%match99¢+1%
Report: Iran's President, Masoud Pezeshkian, announced that he had met with Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei, who has not made any public appearances since his appointment. •
NOalarabiya_eng98%match99¢+1%
Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian says he recently met with Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei, offering the first public account of the leader’s condition since he was severely wounded at the start of the US-Israeli war on Iran in February. • • #Iran
NOjasonmbrodsky99%match93¢+8%
A senior government source told IranWire that #Iran's regime's President Masoud Pezeshkian has had no communication with Mojtaba Khamenei since his appointment as Leader of the Islamic Republic and is said to have no clear knowledge of his current situation.

Where does the news lean?

200YES49NO28neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 95%.

What would make this resolve YES?

This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition. Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required. If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time. Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure. Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify. If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.

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