Vote winner in Alaska Senate primary final round?Mary Peltola
Open$36Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 100% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
8 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Alaska’s Senate race will feature two Dan Sullivans and Mary Peltola, CNN projects
Live: With 73% of the votes counted in Alaska , it appears that the November election for US Senate will include a showdown between Mary Peltola , former Democratic c
Live: Democrat Mary Peltola and incumbent Dan Sullivan lead in Alaska primary for US Senate
Live: Democrat Mary Peltola and Republican Dan Sullivan lead in Alaska primary for US Senate – US politics live
YESReuters98%match92¢+9%
Democrat Mary Peltola to Advance to General Election for U.S. Senate in Alaska - AP Projects
YESAPws98%match92¢+9%
WASHINGTON (AP) — Democrat Mary Peltola advances to the general election for U.S. Senate in Alaska
Live: WASHINGTON (AP) — Democrat Mary Peltola advances to the general election for U.S. Senate in Alaska
A super PAC that started three days ago is spending against Mary Peltola in the #AKSEN primary while spending for a lesser-known Dem and a Green Party candidate:
Where does the news lean?
13YES1NO6neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 97%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve according to the winner of most votes in the final reported round of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate primary election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for August 18, 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Senator from Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections.
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