Vote winner in Alaska Senate primary final round?Dan J. Sullivan
Open$1Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 0% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
9 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
YESReuters98%match0¢
Rpt: Retired Teacher Dan J. Sullivan to Advance to General Election for U.S. Senate in Alaska - NBC Projects
YESReuters98%match0¢
Retired Teacher Dan J. Sullivan to Advance to General Election for U.S. Senate in Alaska - AP Projects
YESReuters98%match0¢
Retired Teacher Dan J. Sullivan to Advance to General Election for U.S. Senate in Alaska - NBC Projects
YESReuters98%match0¢
Retired Teacher Dan J. Sullivan to Advance to General Election for U.S. Senate in Alaska - Ddhq Projects
Live: GOP Sen. Dan Sullivan advances to Alaska Senate general election
Live: As expected, Mary Peltola and Senator Dan Sullivan easily advanced. It’s still early, but Dan J. Sullivan, a retired teacher whom Republicans have accused of entering the race as a spoiler, is leading the lesser-known candidates competing for the remaining two spots on the four-person ballot.
NOReuters98%match100¢
Republican Senator Dan Sullivan to Advance to General Election for U.S. Senate in Alaska - Ddhq Projects
NOAPws98%match100¢
WASHINGTON (AP) — Republican Dan Sullivan advances to the general election for U.S. Senate in Alaska
Live: Polls are now closed in most of Alaska, where Senator Dan Sullivan, a Republican, and former Representative Mary Peltola, a Democrat, are expected to easily advance to the four-person general election race for U.S. Senate. The intrigue revolves around who will claim the third and fourth spots — those candidates could be potential spoilers who split votes with the front-runners in November. One of the lesser-known candidates is also named Dan Sullivan; Republicans fear his presence on the ballot in November could confuse voters and harm the sitting senator’s re-election chances.
Where does the news lean?
6YES20NO25neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve according to the winner of most votes in the final reported round of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate primary election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for August 18, 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Senator from Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections.
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