María Corina Machado enters VenezuelaSeptember 30

ResolvedOutcome: NoVol$88KResolvedas of

Odds now

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

2 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .

NOWSJ Reporter93%match86¢+16%
Meanwhile, opposition leader Maria Corina Machado's senior advisor says that during the last 24 hours, MCM has been denied entry into Venezuela three times. "She has attempted to enter the country by air and sea but has been turned away each time." - David Smolansky • Senior Advisor to María Corina Machado
NOfranceinfo.fr92%match83¢+20%
Live: Maria Corina Machado, the Venezuelan opposition leader in exile in Panama, was prevented from returning to her country yesterday, AFP learned from sources within her political party, Vente Venezuela...

Where does the news lean?

0YES4NO1neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 93%.

How did this market resolve?

If María Corina Machado visits Venezuela between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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See all outcomes for María Corina Machado enters Venezuela — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.