María Corina Machado enters Venezuela
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Market pricing makes December 31 the favorite at 27% across 12 tracked outcomes, as of .
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
11 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
María Corina reiterates her invitation to Venezuelans in Spain for a reunion this Saturday, April 18th, at Puerta del Sol, Madrid. We are going to prepare for our return home and we are going to meet with our president @EdmundoGU, said @MariaCorinaYA
Opposition says Machado to return to Venezuela, coordinating with U.S.
BREAKING NEWS | Venezuelan leader @MariaCorinaYA confirmed the date of her trip to Madrid, Spain: April 18 at 6:00 PM
VENEZUELA MACHADO: RATIFIES SHE WILL RETURN TO VENEZUELA
Machado ally is kidnapped in Venezuela hours after prison release, son says
BREAKING: María Corina Machado projected to return to Venezuela soon. 62% chance.
María Corina Machado, Venezuela’s leading opposition figure, has proved remarkably resilient and canny. But her biggest challenges lie ahead
María Corina Machado, Venezuela’s leading opposition figure, has proved remarkably resilient and canny. But her biggest challenges lie ahead
María Corina Machado, Venezuela’s leading opposition figure, has proved remarkably resilient and canny. But her biggest challenges lie ahead
BREAKING: Venezuelan opposition leader, María Corina Machado, no longer likely to return to Venezuela this month — as the U.S. refuses to endorse her leadership.
What is this event about?
If María Corina Machado visits Venezuela between market creation and Janaury 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.