Who will replace Mullin as Oklahoma Senator?Kevin Stitt
ResolvedOutcome: No$10Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
9 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Oklahoma Gov. Kevin Stitt appointed energy executive Alan Armstrong to replace newly confirmed DHS Secretary Markwayne Mullin in the Senate.
NEW: Oklahoma Gov. Kevin Stitt tapped energy executive Alan Armstrong to replace incoming DHS Secretary Markwayne Mullin in the Senate.
NEW: Oklahoma Governor Kevin Stitt says he is appointing Alan Armstrong to replace Markwayne Mullin in the Senate. • • Armstrong will hold the seat until a replacement is elected and sworn in.
Shocked that the Trump White House didn't try to veto Kevin Stitt appointing Alan Armstrong, given his donations to Adam Kinzinger.
News: Oklahoma Gov. Kevin Stitt officially appoints Alan Armstrong as Mullin’s replacement. He will be sworn in later today. • • Stitt on Armstrong: • • “Alan’s story reflects the very best of Oklahoma.” • • Statement from Williams CEO Chad Zamarin: • • “Governor Stitt’s appointment of Alan Armstrong to the U.S. Senate is a proud moment for Williams and a testament to Alan’s four decades of principled leadership. We are grateful for his service to Oklahoma and to our nation. We know that Alan will bring incredible leadership to the Senate and will continue to champion American energy and prosperity.” • • We first reported this was his plan on Saturday: • •
Oklahoma Gov. Kevin Stitt officially announces oil exec Alan Armstrong as his pick to fill Markwayne Mullin’s Senate seat #OKSEN
News: Gov. Kevin Stitt has chosen Alan Armstrong to replace Mullin in the US Senate for the rest of the term. • • The two are expected to travel to MAL tomorrow to meet with Trump. • • Sources cautioned that the pick could change following the meeting. • •
Scoop: A Cabinet shake up and vacant Senate seat drove Oklahoma Gov. Kevin Stitt to attempt to patch up his relationship with President Donald Trump. • • When Stitt sat down with Trump Thursday at the White House, the governor’s first priority was clearing the air between the two Republicans after recent tensions over White House invitations to the nation’s governors. • • W/ @AlexGangitano • •
NONOTUS Reporter99%match92¢+9%
News: Oklahoma Gov. Kevin Stitt is expected to meet with President Donald Trump this week in DC to talk about who he will appoint to the Senate, per three sources. • • Meeting likely will be Thursday, sources say.
Where does the news lean?
1YES8NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
How did this market resolve?
On March 5, 2026, Donald Trump announced that the United States Senator from Oklahoma, Markwayne Mullin, will be appointed to replace Kristi Noem as United States Secretary of Homeland Security.
This market will resolve according to the next person officially appointed by the Governor of Oklahoma, or otherwise formally selected according the jurisdiction's vacancy rules, to fill Markwayne Mullin’s seat as United States Senator from Oklahoma.
Interim, Acting, or other temporary Senators appointed or elected to the role will count.
If no replacement senator has been appointed or elected by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None Before Midterm Election.”
Additionally, if, prior to November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a widespread consensus of credible reporting indicates that Markwayne Mullin will complete his term as United States Senator (e.g. if Mullin’s nomination as Secretary of Homeland Security is rejected or withdrawn and he announces he will complete his term), this market will resolve immediately to “None Before Midterm Election.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Oklahoma; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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