Who will replace Mullin as Oklahoma Senator?Kevin Hern
ResolvedOutcome: No$12Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
9 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
YESNews99%match11¢-100%
*TRUMP ENDORSES KEVIN HERN FOR OKLAHOMA SENATE SEAT
President Trump just endorsed Kevin Hern for Oklahoma Senate seat after nominating Mullin to lead DHS.
NEW: President Trump endorses Rep. Kevin Hern for Oklahoma’s open Senate seat
News: Trump endorses Kevin Hern for Oklahoma Senate
Trump on Truth Social endorses Kevin Hern for #OKSEN
Days after Rep. Kevin Hern officially jumps in the U.S. Senate race to rep Oklahoma, Rep. Stephanie Bice announces she’s not running. • • Hern was seen with deputy WH chief of staff James Blair multiple times during this week’s GOP retreat in Doral.
YESNews99%match30¢-100%
Republican Rep. Kevin Hern to run for Sen. Markwayne Mullin's seat in Oklahoma
YESDC Examiner Reporter98%match7¢-100%
News: Rep. Kevin Hern will announce his run for Senate tomorrow afternoon • • Confirming @PunchbowlNews
YESPunchbowl Reporter98%match7¢-100%
NEWS: KEVIN HERN, House Republican from Oklahoma and former RSC chair, will announce tomorrow afternoon he is running for Senate. • • me and @LauraEWeiss16 • • (text subscribers knew this already)
Where does the news lean?
11YES0NO3neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
How did this market resolve?
On March 5, 2026, Donald Trump announced that the United States Senator from Oklahoma, Markwayne Mullin, will be appointed to replace Kristi Noem as United States Secretary of Homeland Security.
This market will resolve according to the next person officially appointed by the Governor of Oklahoma, or otherwise formally selected according the jurisdiction's vacancy rules, to fill Markwayne Mullin’s seat as United States Senator from Oklahoma.
Interim, Acting, or other temporary Senators appointed or elected to the role will count.
If no replacement senator has been appointed or elected by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None Before Midterm Election.”
Additionally, if, prior to November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a widespread consensus of credible reporting indicates that Markwayne Mullin will complete his term as United States Senator (e.g. if Mullin’s nomination as Secretary of Homeland Security is rejected or withdrawn and he announces he will complete his term), this market will resolve immediately to “None Before Midterm Election.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Oklahoma; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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