French Socialist Primary: First Round WinnerJérôme Guedj
ResolvedOutcome: No$835as of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
13 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Live: Raphaël Glucksmann has won the Social Democratic primary
LIVE
"I am satisfied with the clarity of the message sent": Jérôme Guedj says he is "happy with the result" of the primary
Raphaël Glucksmann's victory in the Social Democratic primary: "The Socialist family is showing that it still knows how to organize a democratic consultation," congratulates Arthur Delaporte, spokesperson for the Socialist Party.
Raphaël Glucksmann wins the Social Democratic primary: "I'm glad I participated in this primary," says losing candidate Jérôme Guedj
LIVE
Socialist Party/Public Square Primary: Raphaël Glucksmann asserts, after his victory, that "the democratic left is back"
Socialist Party primary – Public Square: Images of Raphaël Glucksmann learning of his victory revealed
A majority emerged in the first round. Raphaël Glucksmann convinced a majority of voters, and I respect the democratic process of the primary, which I initiated, too much not to accept it wisely. He is now the elected candidate of the three parties associated in this primary.
Raphaël Glucksmann wins the left-wing primary: "I am very happy for my socialist family," declares Boris Vallaud, Socialist MP for Landes. "There is momentum, there is strength," continues Glucksmann's supporter. #canal16 #franceinfo
Raphaël Glucksmann wins the Social Democratic primary: former President François Hollande congratulated the winner via message
Raphaël Glucksmann's victory in the Social Democratic primary: "We have a dignified and credible left embodied" by the winner, declares Jérôme Guedj
"Nothing is won yet": Raphaël Glucksmann reacts to his victory in the first round of the Social Democratic primary
"Nothing is won yet": Raphaël Glucksmann reacts to his victory in the first round of the Social Democratic primary
"Extremely violent": Jérôme Guedj believes the Socialist Party acted "hastily" by excluding Philippe Brun from the Socialist primary.
Where does the news lean?
6YES12NO1neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 93%.
How did this market resolve?
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.
This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.
If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
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See all outcomes for French Socialist Primary: First Round Winner — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.