Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?Israel
Open$292as of
Odds now
The market prices a 4% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES4¢
NO96¢
as of
What moved the odds?
1 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Netanyahu claims he will not allow the establishment of a Palestinian state in the Gaza Strip or the occupied West Bank as long as he remains in office. In response to statements by the head of the United Arab List (Ra'am), Mansour Abbas, who said that "the State of Palestine exists and is recognized by most of the world, with the exception of the United States and Israel," calling on Washington and Tel Aviv to recognize it.
Where does the news lean?
0YES1NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 92%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET.
An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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