Will ground beef hit __ in 2026?$8.000+
Open$2Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 41% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES41¢
NO59¢
as of
What moved the odds?
2 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
A pound of ground beef now costs $6.82 — and that number is crushing consumer confidence
CHART OF THE DAY: Yes, gasoline; but also beef. • • (And both politically toxic in America ahead of the summer) • • The average cost of a pound of ground chuck has risen to almost $7. Red meat inflation in the US is out of control, with prices up 91% since Trump's 1st inauguration)
Where does the news lean?
2YES3NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 96%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
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