Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?Édouard Philippe
Open$2Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 39% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES39¢
NO62¢
as of
What moved the odds?
8 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
LIVE
Presidential election: Édouard Philippe endorses Gérald Darmanin, who declares that economic efforts are necessary
2027 Presidential Election: Edouard Philippe urges the right and center to unite before February
Avoiding "multiplying candidacies": why Gérald Darmanin decided to support Édouard Philippe for the 2027 presidential election
"I've decided not to add to the division": Gérald Darmanin announces he will "not run in the presidential election" and offers his support to Édouard Philippe.
"I have decided not to add to the division": Gérald Darmanin announces "that he will not be running in the presidential election" and offers his support to Édouard Philippe
2027 Presidential Election: Marine Le Pen leads the first round according to a poll, Édouard Philippe the best candidate for the center and right
Presidential election 2027: Marine Le Pen leads by a wide margin in the first round according to a poll, Édouard Philippe the best candidate of the center and right
EDITORIAL - Presidential election: "Édouard Philippe finally let his guard down" at his campaign launch rally
Where does the news lean?
29YES9NO28neutraltrailing 24h
Signal flow leans NO at 67% — signal sentiment, not the market price. Average match confidence across the listed signals: 96%.
What would make this resolve YES?
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.
The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
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