Okinawa Governor Election WinnerDenny Tamaki
Open$8Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 79% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES79¢
NO21¢
as of
What moved the odds?
2 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Okinawa Prefectural Governor Election: Mikio Shimoji Announces Withdrawal from Candidacy, Reaches Policy Agreement with LDP The election is expected to be a de facto two-way race between incumbent Denny Tamaki and former Naha City Deputy Mayor Genta Koja. Shimoji's withdrawal will unite the conservative camp, which is expected to give Koja a boost.
With Mikio Shimoji's withdrawal, the Okinawa gubernatorial election will become a "Liberal Democratic Party vs. Okinawan People's Party" contest, according to Denny Tamaki's camp.
Where does the news lean?
1YES1NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
What would make this resolve YES?
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Okinawa on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no candidate reaches the legally required number of votes to win the election, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Okinawa and Japan, including the Okinawa Prefecture Election Administration Committee (https://www.pref.okinawa.jp/kensei/senkyo/index.html).
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See all outcomes for Okinawa Governor Election Winner — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.