Okinawa Governor Election WinnerDenny Tamaki
ResolvedOutcome: No$17Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
6 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Denny Tamaki, who was seeking a third term, said in a quiet venue, "I will accept this fully"... Genta Koja wins first term as governor of Okinawa Prefecture.
Okinawa gubernatorial election: Conservative newcomer Genta Koja is projected to win his first term, defeating incumbent Denny Tamaki and others.
Okinawa gubernatorial election: Newcomer Genta Koja is projected to win, defeating incumbent Denny Tamaki, who was seeking a third term, and others.
[Okinawa Prefectural Governor Election] Genta Koja is projected to win, defeating incumbent Denny Tamaki, who was seeking a third term.
Okinawa Prefectural Governor Election: Mikio Shimoji Announces Withdrawal from Candidacy, Reaches Policy Agreement with LDP The election is expected to be a de facto two-way race between incumbent Denny Tamaki and former Naha City Deputy Mayor Genta Koja. Shimoji's withdrawal will unite the conservative camp, which is expected to give Koja a boost.
With Mikio Shimoji's withdrawal, the Okinawa gubernatorial election will become a "Liberal Democratic Party vs. Okinawan People's Party" contest, according to Denny Tamaki's camp.
Where does the news lean?
1YES6NO4neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 97%.
Past moves on this market
Material odds moves (≥8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.
How did this market resolve?
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Okinawa on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no candidate reaches the legally required number of votes to win the election, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Okinawa and Japan, including the Okinawa Prefecture Election Administration Committee (https://www.pref.okinawa.jp/kensei/senkyo/index.html).
Related markets
See all outcomes for Okinawa Governor Election Winner — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.