Will Denny Tamaki win the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial election? Odds fell to 4% on Sep 13, 2026

OpenMove

Will Denny Tamaki win the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial election? On , the market’s odds fell from 16.5¢ to 4¢ (-12.5 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from yomiuri.co.jp.

How did the odds move?

At match16.5¢
+5m17¢
+30m5¢
+1h4¢
1h move-12.5 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

Neutralyomiuri.co.jp97%match
The Okinawa gubernatorial election is effectively a two-way race between Genta Koja and Denny Tamaki... Vote counting begins at 8 p.m.

Where does this market stand now?

The market prices a 8% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES8¢
NO92¢

Vol$16K

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Will Denny Tamaki win the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial election? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for Okinawa Governor Election Winner — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.