Will Denny Tamaki win the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial election? Odds fell to 4% on Sep 13, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: NoMove

Will Denny Tamaki win the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial election? On , the market’s odds fell from 16.5¢ to 4¢ (-12.5 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from yomiuri.co.jp. The market has since resolved No.

How did the odds move?

At match16.5¢
+5m17¢
+30m5¢
+1h4¢
1h move-12.5 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Sep 13, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

  • 17.5¢ → 1.3¢-16.2 ptsafter a signal from newsdig.tbs.co.jp
  • 17.5¢ → 1.2¢-16.3 ptsafter a signal from News
  • 11¢ → 0.9¢-10.1 ptsafter a signal from yomiuri.co.jp
  • 11¢ → 0.9¢-10.1 ptsafter a signal from sankei.com

What moved the odds?

Neutralyomiuri.co.jp97%match
The Okinawa gubernatorial election is effectively a two-way race between Genta Koja and Denny Tamaki... Vote counting begins at 8 p.m.

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

Vol$17K

Follow this market

Will Denny Tamaki win the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial election? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for Okinawa Governor Election Winner — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.