Clacton by-election: Count Binface Vote %Binface 20–30%
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$126Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
7 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Live: Binface scored more than 25 percent of vote share in Clacton in humiliating blow for Farage
— Nigel Farage won 1,014 more votes here than in 2024, albeit without mainstream competition • • — Turnout 44.37% - high for a by-election • • — I make it 62.8% of the vote for Farage and 26.7% of the vote for Count Binface
Farage - 22,239 (62.8%) • Binface - 9,455 (26.7%)
Breaking: • • Nigel Farage has won the Clacton by-election - although Count Binface secured nearly 10,000 votes • • Nigel Farage: 22,239 • • Count Binface: 9,455 • • Looks like Farage got 63% of the vote, Count Binface around 27%
Nigel Farage has won the Clacton by-election, with 22,239 votes - up 1,000 votes on his 2024 performance. • • Count Binface got 9,455 votes - 26.7% of the vote • • (I can count only 22 of the 34 candidates present in the hall for the result…)
Fifth of voters to back Count Binface over Farage
Fifth of voters plan to back Count Binface rather than Nigel Farage
Where does the news lean?
7YES2NO29neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
Past moves on this market
Material odds moves (≥8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.
How did this market resolve?
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Count Binface wins in the Clacton parliamentary by-election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not compete or the results of the specified election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
Related markets
See all outcomes for Clacton by-election: Count Binface Vote % — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.