Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? Odds jumped to 99% on Aug 14, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: YesMove

Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? On , the market’s odds jumped from 76¢ to 99.5¢ (+23.5 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from theguardian.com. The market has since resolved Yes.

How did the odds move?

At match76¢
+5m88.5¢
+30m99.1¢
+1h99.5¢
1h move+23.5 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Aug 14, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

  • 90¢ → 99.5¢+9.5 ptsafter a signal from GBNews Reporter

What moved the odds?

Neutraltheguardian.com97%match
Live: There’s been a call over loudspeaker for “candidates and agents” at the Clacton leisure centre in Essex and we could be nearing result time. Count Binface looks

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

Vol$126K

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Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for Clacton by-election: Count Binface Vote % — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.