Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)Sheinbaum - Mexico President

ResolvedOutcome: NoVol$1.2MResolvedas of

Odds now

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

3 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .

NOVenezuela State-Backed TV99%match100¢
#VIDEO | Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum announced the resumption of hydrocarbon trade between Mexico and Cuba. She mentioned that mechanisms are being developed with private companies to achieve this goal. Sheinbaum clarified that, in addition to the reactivation of hydrocarbon trade, humanitarian aid to Cuba continues. #Mexico #Cuba #Hydrocarbons #Trade #teleSUR
NOVenezuela State-Backed TV99%match100¢
#VIDEO | Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum Pardo inaugurated the Industrial and Technological High School Number 290 this Saturday in the Natura neighborhood of Tijuana, Baja California, where she announced the existence of 200,000 new spaces nationwide for upper secondary education students. #teleSUR #Mexico #Sheinbaum #education #News
NOVenezuela State-Backed TV99%match99¢+1%
Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum assured that no foreign government will stop the transformation that her administration is promoting in the country. The president made these statements this Saturday during an event in the state of Yucatán. Sheinbaum emphasized that the "rights won by the people" and the achievements of Mexico belong to the citizens and will not be taken away. He urged people to be aware of what has been achieved, stating that "no one is going to take the transformation away from the people of Mexico."

Where does the news lean?

0YES3NO1neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.

How did this market resolve?

This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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