Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election WinnerBSW
ResolvedOutcome: No$37Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
3 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Saxony-Anhalt: CDU massively overrated, BSW underestimated – how wrong the polls were
BSW in Saxony-Anhalt: Ironically, Wagenknecht's small party could help election winner Siegmund to power
Live: One big reason the AfD will fall short: the apparent success of the Sahra Wagenknecht alliance, known by its German initials BSW. The party seems likely to win more than 5 percent of the vote, the threshold needed to win seats in the state parliament, and it could effectively decide who governs Saxony-Anhalt. BSW is a populist party with policies associated with both the left and the right. Its leaders have said they will neither back the AfD nor the current state leader, Sven Schulze of the Christian Democrats.
Where does the news lean?
1YES6NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 94%.
How did this market resolve?
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
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See all outcomes for Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election Winner — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.