Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election WinnerAfD
Open$93Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 99% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES99¢
NO1¢
as of
What moved the odds?
13 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
One in five Germans would leave the country if the most popular party won. A week before the elections to the Landtag (local parliament) of Saxony-Anhalt, the Alternative for Germany (AfD) party maintains a significant lead over the Christian Democratic Union (CDU). This is evidenced by the results of a survey conducted by the sociological institute Insa on behalf of Bild, the German publication writes. Also, more than one in five (22%) of German residents surveyed said they would consider leaving the country if the AfD not only won the elections in Saxony, but also came to power at the federal level in the future. At the same time, 47% of respondents believe that a federal government led by the AfD would harm Germany. 36% disagreed with this. RBC channel on "Max"
RBC app for iOS and Android
State election in Saxony-Anhalt: AfD extends its lead, SPD and Greens also gain ground according to polls
Germany’s AfD eyes Saxony-Anhalt win as first step toward federal power
Poll: AfD leads by record margin in Allensbach survey – CDU falls to lowest level since 2021
Landtagswahl: AfD in Sachsen-Anhalt laut Umfrage bei 42 Prozent – BSW legt zu
Saxony-Anhalt: Shock poll for Sven Schulze – AfD almost twice as strong as CDU
State election: AfD still clearly ahead of CDU in polls in Saxony-Anhalt
AfD remains strongest party in Saxony-Anhalt – CDU loses ground, SPD and Greens clear the five percent hurdle
This is how the Left Party is preparing for an AfD election victory in Saxony-Anhalt.
AfD in Sachsen-Anhalt bei 42 Prozent, SPD knapp drin
"Germany’s AfD is at 28% in national polls, the most popular party, and 41% in an eastern state where an election will be held in September: add the far left, and populism is >50% of the electorate. There appear few stable German political coalitions that exclude the AfD" - Rabo
Germany's Alternative for Germany (AfD) is projected to be the leading party in a September state election in Saxony Anhalt, according to an infratest dimap poll. • • More Here →
AfD remains clearly the strongest party in Saxony-Anhalt according to polls – Left Party gains ground
Where does the news lean?
18YES0NO3neutraltrailing 24h
Signal flow leans NO at 54% — signal sentiment, not the market price. Average match confidence across the listed signals: 96%.
What would make this resolve YES?
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Related markets
See all outcomes for Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election Winner — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.