Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election Winner
Open34as of
This hub tracks 34 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
30 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
Saxony-Anhalt: CDU massively overrated, BSW underestimated – how wrong the polls were
The Alternative for Germany (AfD) won the state parliament election in Saxony-Anhalt, Germany, with 43.8% of the vote. The AfD achieved its strongest result ever in a state parliament election, more than doubling its 20.8% vote share from the 2021 election. The Christian Democratic Union (CDU) lost 19.9 percentage points compared to 2021, becoming the second largest party with 17.2% of the vote. The AfD fell short of the 42 seats needed to form a government, failing to secure a majority on its own.
State election in Saxony-Anhalt: The Greens achieve a record result in the east
BSW in Saxony-Anhalt: Ironically, Wagenknecht's small party could help election winner Siegmund to power
The AfD won the Saxony-Anhalt state parliament election in Germany. Following the election results, anti-AfD demonstrations were held in Frankfurt, Berlin, and Mainz. In Frankfurt, approximately 2,500 people demanded that the possibility of initiating closure proceedings against the AfD be examined. In Berlin, hundreds of demonstrators marched from the government district to the Saxony-Anhalt State Representation. The AfD won 39 seats in the 83-seat state parliament, falling short of an absolute majority by 3 seats. It remains to be seen whether BSW, which passed the 5% threshold, will support the AfD in forming a government.
The right-wing AfD won the Saxony-Anhalt state parliament election in Germany. Following the election results, anti-AfD demonstrations were held in Frankfurt, Berlin, and Mainz. In Frankfurt, approximately 2,500 people demanded that the possibility of initiating closure proceedings against the AfD be examined. In Berlin, hundreds of demonstrators marched from the government district to the Saxony-Anhalt State Representation. The AfD won 39 seats in the 83-seat state parliament, falling short of an absolute majority by 3 seats. It remains to be seen whether BSW, which passed the 5% threshold, will support the AfD in forming a government.
In the end: The right-wing AfD party was 3 seats short of an absolute majority (they won 39 out of 42). Apparently: They have the option of forming a coalition with the far-left BSW party Currently: The AfD party has signaled that it is not interested in a coalition [in reply to: For the first time since World War II, a far-right party will head a state in Germany The results of the election models for the local parliament of the state of Saxony-Anhalt in Germany show that the right-wing AfD party received about 44.5% of the total vote, more than 2 times the percentage of votes received by the CDU party of the current German Chancellor Friedrich Merz. Currently: It is not 50% - which would have allowed it to govern without a coalition]
Assaf Rosenzweig
Elections in the state of Saxony-Anhalt in Germany: The far-right AfD party won 39 seats, just three short of the number needed to achieve an absolute majority in the local parliament. It will try to hold talks with other parties, which in turn have repeated that they will not sit in government with it. The CDU party, the conservative right of Chancellor Merz, which won 17% of the vote, has also made it clear that it will not sit with the left, so any political scenario now looks very complex and is expected to include tedious talks for all sides
The emerging left-wing BSW holds the key to the eastern German state parliamentary elections: cooperating with anti-immigration groups without excluding them.
State election in Saxony-Anhalt: AfD wins ahead of CDU, but misses out on an absolute majority
Sachsen-Anhalt hat gesprochen: Die AfD ist mit 44,2% mehr als doppelt so stark wie die CDU und hat einen Regierungsauftrag erhalten. Gratulation an Ulrich Siegmund und die AfD Sachsen-Anhalt!
The far-right AfD party won the elections in Saxony-Anhalt with over 44% of the vote, close to an absolute majority and with the possibility of forming the first far-right regional government in Germany. The CDU received just over 18%. Comment and share this information. #teleSUR #Germany
The Greens don't know how to feel. They've clearly exceeded expectations, but this is dampened by the AfD's result. "If the overall situation weren't so depressing, you'd see me dancing here," said @fbanaszak. #SaxonyAnhalt 1/2
In Germany, the AfD won the Saxony-Anhalt state parliament election with 44.5% of the votes. AfD supporters celebrated wildly upon learning the election results. Critical moments for the AfD, which is close to forming a government in a German state for the first time With half of the votes counted in the Saxony-Anhalt state parliament elections, at least 42 seats are needed to secure a majority on its own. For the AfD, which is projected to reach 39 seats according to exit polls, whether the Sahra Wagenknecht Union (BSW), which is hovering around 5%, will fall below the threshold will be decisive. If the BSW passes the 5% threshold, unlike other parties, it is not closing the door to a partnership with the AfD.
Election victory in Saxony-Anhalt: AfD hopes for great chaos
Far-right AfD leads in German elections: victory could cost Merz his job In Saxony-Anhalt, the AfD, according to ARD, is gaining 44.2% of the vote, while Chancellor Friedrich Merz's CDU party is only 18.5%. This is the AfD's best result in the party's entire history. The AfD has announced a mandate to form a government. If the party receives enough mandates for a majority, it will be able to independently lead the federal state government for the first time. For the CDU, the result was a serious blow - in 2021, the party received 37.1%. Read only the gist from RBC-Ukraine on Google.
The AfD announced it had received a mandate to form a government in Saxony-Anhalt.
“We have made history”: The AfD triumphs in Saxony-Anhalt and is considering an unprecedented alliance with the far left
The CDU candidate admitted his party's defeat in the elections in Saxony-Anhalt [in reply to: Voter turnout in the elections in Saxony-Anhalt reached a record level]
Live: One big reason the AfD will fall short: the apparent success of the Sahra Wagenknecht alliance, known by its German initials BSW. The party seems likely to win more than 5 percent of the vote, the threshold needed to win seats in the state parliament, and it could effectively decide who governs Saxony-Anhalt. BSW is a populist party with policies associated with both the left and the right. Its leaders have said they will neither back the AfD nor the current state leader, Sven Schulze of the Christian Democrats.
Live: Addressing a crowd of supporters in Magdeburg, Saxony-Anhalt, Ulrich Siegmund, the AfD’s lead candidate in the state election, called his party’s victory historic. “We’ve made history, and we’re taking our country back,” he told a cheering crowd. “It all starts here in Saxony-Anhalt,” he said.
Right-wing AfD party wins in Saxony-Anhalt elections The Alternative for Germany (AfD) party is winning a landslide victory in the state parliament elections in Saxony-Anhalt, BILD reports. "According to current ARD estimates, the AfD is gaining 44.5% of the vote - about 24 percentage points more than five years ago. The CDU of current Prime Minister Sven Schulze is gaining about 18% and losing about half of its previous support," the report says.
...
In Germany, the far-right AfD won the Saxony-Anhalt state parliament election with 44.5% of the votes. Details on the election results
Saxony-Anhalt election 2026: Suddenly the AfD is looking for a coalition partner
Saxony-Anhalt election: CDU result with the potential to oust Merz from office
Election in Saxony-Anhalt: ZDF projection shows AfD just barely ahead of an absolute majority
Election in Saxony-Anhalt: AfD at over 44 percent, CDU halved – ZDF projection shows AfD just shy of an absolute majority
What is this event about?
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).