Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election Winner

OpenOutcomes34as of

Market pricing makes AfD the favorite at 99% across 34 tracked outcomes, as of .

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

AfD99%
CDU1%
BSW0%
FDP0%
SPD0%

All further outcomes (4 more):

Party V · Party W · Party Y · Other

What moved the odds?

30 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

AfDRussian Media97%match99¢
One in five Germans would leave the country if the most popular party won. A week before the elections to the Landtag (local parliament) of Saxony-Anhalt, the Alternative for Germany (AfD) party maintains a significant lead over the Christian Democratic Union (CDU). This is evidenced by the results of a survey conducted by the sociological institute Insa on behalf of Bild, the German publication writes. Also, more than one in five (22%) of German residents surveyed said they would consider leaving the country if the AfD not only won the elections in Saxony, but also came to power at the federal level in the future. At the same time, 47% of respondents believe that a federal government led by the AfD would harm Germany. 36% disagreed with this. RBC channel on "Max" RBC app for iOS and Android
CDUhandelsblatt.com93%match99¢
State election: CDU in Saxony-Anhalt falls further behind in polls
AfDspiegel.de97%match100¢-1%
State election in Saxony-Anhalt: AfD extends its lead, SPD and Greens also gain ground according to polls
AfDwelt.de97%match100¢-1%
Saxony-Anhalt: AfD significantly widens gap with CDU/CSU in poll – Greens and SPD mathematically eligible for seats in the state parliament
CDUwelt.de95%match99¢
Saxony-Anhalt: AfD significantly widens gap with CDU/CSU in poll – Greens and SPD mathematically eligible for seats in the state parliament
The Leftwelt.de93%match100¢
Saxony-Anhalt: If they don't get over 5 percent – ​​Greens and Left Party warn of "irreversible consequences" because of the AfD
The Greenswelt.de93%match100¢
Saxony-Anhalt: If they don't get over 5 percent – ​​Greens and Left Party warn of "irreversible consequences" because of the AfD
AfDdbws.io94%match99¢
Germany’s AfD eyes Saxony-Anhalt win as first step toward federal power
AfDwelt.de91%match99¢
Poll: AfD leads by record margin in Allensbach survey – CDU falls to lowest level since 2021
BSWwelt.de92%match100¢
Saxony-Anhalt: Schulze warns against voting for the BSW – “Will support the AfD 100 percent”
AfDspiegel.de92%match98¢+1%
State elections in Saxony-Anhalt: Federal Council considers itself prepared for a possible AfD government
BSWfaz.net91%match100¢
Sachsen-Anhalt: BSW will notfalls AfD-Ministerpräsidenten zulassen
AfDspiegel.de92%match98¢+1%
BSW wants to pave the way for an AfD state premier in the Saxony-Anhalt election.
AfDhandelsblatt.com94%match98¢+1%
Landtagswahl: AfD in Sachsen-Anhalt laut Umfrage bei 42 Prozent – BSW legt zu
AfDwelt.de93%match98¢+1%
Saxony-Anhalt: Shock poll for Sven Schulze – AfD almost twice as strong as CDU
CDUwelt.de93%match98¢+1%
Saxony-Anhalt: Shock poll for Sven Schulze – AfD almost twice as strong as CDU
AfDDW Reporter93%match98¢+1%
Polls suggest he cannot win against the far right AfD. • I spoke to CDU State Premier of Saxony-Anhalt Sven Schulze about how he tries to stop the AfD from coming into power for the first time in its history. • And about Russian interference ahead of Sept 6 •
CDUDW Reporter92%match98¢+1%
Polls suggest he cannot win against the far right AfD. • I spoke to CDU State Premier of Saxony-Anhalt Sven Schulze about how he tries to stop the AfD from coming into power for the first time in its history. • And about Russian interference ahead of Sept 6 •
AfDfaz.net94%match98¢+1%
Saxony-Anhalt: Will the Greens spoil the AfD's march?
AfDhandelsblatt.com97%match98¢+1%
State election: AfD still clearly ahead of CDU in polls in Saxony-Anhalt
CDUhandelsblatt.com96%match98¢+1%
State election: AfD still clearly ahead of CDU in polls in Saxony-Anhalt
AfDwelt.de96%match98¢+1%
AfD remains strongest party in Saxony-Anhalt – CDU loses ground, SPD and Greens clear the five percent hurdle
CDUwelt.de95%match98¢+1%
AfD remains strongest party in Saxony-Anhalt – CDU loses ground, SPD and Greens clear the five percent hurdle
AfDwelt.de99%match97¢+2%
This is how the Left Party is preparing for an AfD election victory in Saxony-Anhalt.
The Leftwelt.de99%match100¢
This is how the Left Party is preparing for an AfD election victory in Saxony-Anhalt.
AfDwelt.de99%match90¢+10%
AfD in Sachsen-Anhalt bei 42 Prozent, SPD knapp drin
SPDwelt.de99%match100¢
AfD in Sachsen-Anhalt bei 42 Prozent, SPD knapp drin
AfDzerohedge98%match94¢+5%
"Germany’s AfD is at 28% in national polls, the most popular party, and 41% in an eastern state where an election will be held in September: add the far left, and populism is >50% of the electorate. There appear few stable German political coalitions that exclude the AfD" - Rabo
AfDpiqnewswire99%match92¢+8%
Germany's Alternative for Germany (AfD) is projected to be the leading party in a September state election in Saxony Anhalt, according to an infratest dimap poll. • • More Here →
AfDwelt.de99%match90¢+10%
AfD remains clearly the strongest party in Saxony-Anhalt according to polls – Left Party gains ground

What is this event about?

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).

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