Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)Netanyahu - Israel PM
ResolvedOutcome: No$4.2Mas of
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This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
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24 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Israel: Why Benjamin Netanyahu is the favorite in the election campaign
The coalition will pass a law to dissolve the Knesset by July 17. The reason - Netanyahu's entourage fears that if an election period is not declared, MKs who switch sides will be able to join the opposition and make a constructive vote of no confidence near the elections.
The coalition will pass a law to dissolve the Knesset by July 17. The reason - Netanyahu's entourage fears that if an election period is not declared, MKs who switch sides will be able to join the opposition and make a constructive vote of no confidence near the elections.
NONews99%match100¢
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in a multi-sector situation assessment with the IDF's Senior Command Forum:
Israeli reports: Netanyahu threatens to run in the upcoming Knesset elections with a list independent of Likud if agreements to form an electoral list fail... amid opposition gains in the polls. Al-Hadath Channel
From the government meeting:
Netanyahu at the beginning of the meeting: "After the elections, we will work to establish a broad national government. We are not boycotting anyone, and anyone who wants to sit under the principles of Israel as the state of the Jewish people, armed independence, and there are no two states for two peoples - anyone who recognizes these principles is welcome to join."
Ben Gvir: "I just hope that out of a desire for a unity government, Prime Minister, you will not boycott parts of the right-wing bloc. Ultimately, the first proposal here deals with Jewish identity, and only in a right-wing government can we work on this, as well as for goals such as legal reform and the settlement of the Land of Israel."
Netanyahu repeats message at cabinet meeting: After elections, we will work to establish a broad national government. Anyone who wants to sit under the principles of Israel as the state of the Jewish people, armed independence, and not two states for two peoples is welcome to join. Ben Gvir replied: I hope that out of a desire for a unity government, you will not boycott parts of the right-wing bloc. Ultimately, the first proposal here deals with Jewish identity, and only in a right-wing government can we work on this, as well as legal reform and the settlement of the Land of Israel Netanyahu claimed in response that there are no boycotts
Netanyahu says ‘no room for two states’ between Jordan River and the sea
Netanyahu: There is no longer a "two-state" space between the sea and the Jordan River.
Netanyahu: The framework agreement with Lebanon is a major blow to Iran and Hezbollah, and we will not withdraw from southern Lebanon before Hezbollah is disarmed.
@NafeeYahya
Netanyahu and the Haredim have reached an agreement: Elections will be held on October 20
According to the agreement, the Haredi parties will provide Netanyahu with support in advancing the media law, splitting the role of the Ombudsman, establishing an investigative committee, and holding the elections on October 20, in exchange for advancing the arrest law and the Basic Law on Torah Study
A deal has been reached between Netanyahu and the Haredim: an election date is set for October 20 in exchange for a legislative package
Netanyahu: Israel will remain in southern Lebanon
Live: Netanyahu: We will not withdraw from Southern Lebanon
Netanyahu: We will remain in southern Lebanon as long as necessary Benjamin Netanyahu wrote on social media that his position and instructions to the Israeli Defense Minister have not changed.
The Israeli Prime Minister wrote on X Network: "Our forces in southern Lebanon have complete freedom of action to neutralize any direct threat against themselves or the residents of the north."
He emphasized that the Israeli army "has no restrictions in this regard."
Netanyahu reiterated that the Israeli army "will remain in the security zone in southern Lebanon as long as necessary."
In the Iran-US talks in Switzerland, both countries emphasized that maintaining the ceasefire in Lebanon is a central issue.
@VahidHeadline @VahidOnline
Netanyahu vows Israeli forces will stay in southern Lebanon security zone ‘as long as necessary’
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's claim about the regime's continued aggression against Lebanon "My instructions and those of the Minister of Defense to the Israeli army are clear and have not changed." Our forces in southern Lebanon have complete freedom of action to neutralize any direct or emerging threat against themselves or against the residents of the north. The Israeli army faces no restrictions in this regard; I stand behind them. I remain steadfast in my position that we will remain in the security zone in southern Lebanon for as long as necessary to protect the residents of the north and all citizens of the State of Israel. Mean on social networks @mizanplus
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu: • "My directive, and that of the Minister of Defense, to the IDF is clear and has not changed: Our fighters in southern Lebanon have full freedom of action to thwart any direct or developing threat to them or to the residents of the North. The IDF has no restrictions on this matter. • • I stand behind them; the entire nation stands behind them. • • My stance is firm on our remaining in the security zone in southern Lebanon for as long as is required in order to protect the residents of the North and all citizens of the state."
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, emphasizing that his and the Defense Minister's orders to the army have not changed and are clear, said: "Our forces in southern Lebanon have complete freedom of action to confront any direct or emerging threat against themselves or the residents of northern Israel. There are no restrictions on the Israeli army in this regard."
He added: "I firmly stand by the position that we will remain in the buffer zone in southern Lebanon for as long as necessary to protect the residents of northern Israel and all citizens of the country."
Netanyahu: The Israeli army has no restrictions in this regard. I insist on the position that we will remain in the security zone in southern Lebanon as long as it is necessary to protect the residents of the north and all citizens of the country.
Netanyahu: The army will remain in the security zone in Lebanon as long as necessary.
Netanyahu says Israeli forces will remain in southern Lebanon "as long as necessary"
*Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu:* "My directive and that of the Minister of Defense to the IDF is clear and has not changed: Our fighters in southern Lebanon have full freedom of action to thwart any direct or emerging threat to them or to the residents of the north. The IDF has no restrictions in this regard. I stand behind them, the entire nation stands behind them. I stand firm that we will remain in the security zone in southern Lebanon for as long as necessary to protect the residents of the north and all citizens of the country."
Netanyahu: "I firmly maintain our presence in the security zone in southern Lebanon as long as necessary to protect the residents of the north and all citizens of the state."
Where does the news lean?
11YES52NO15neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.
An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.
Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.
If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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