When will Apple release a foldable iPhone?September 30

ResolvedOutcome: NoVol$126KResolvedas of

Odds now

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

15 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .

YESchosun.com92%match0¢
Samsung Z Fold 8 Sales Surge Following Release of Foldable iPhone
YESchinesewsj94%match1¢-100%
Apple released the new iPhone 18 Pro series and its first foldable phone. Like other consumer electronics manufacturers, Apple is carefully balancing its rising costs with factors such as inflation that are squeezing consumer wallets. The Jefferies analyst team believes that Apple currently seems to prioritize sales volume over profit margins.
YESWalter Bloomberg95%match1¢-100%
APPLE’S $1,999 FOLDABLE FACES DEMAND TEST • • Apple’s new iPhone Duo starts at $1,999, but analysts question whether its appeal can extend beyond wealthy early adopters. • • Counterpoint still expects Apple to sell nearly 6 million units by year-end, potentially capturing 25% of the global foldable market on pent-up demand and brand strength alone.
YESalarabiya95%match1¢-100%
At its conference, Apple launched its first ever foldable iPhone, the iPhone Duo, officially entering the foldable phone race. The phone features a 7.6-inch internal screen, an A20 Pro chip, and up to 2TB of storage in the top-of-the-line version. Prices start at $1,999 and go up to $3,199 for the highest-end model. What do you think? Is it worth the price?
YESnewsdig.tbs.co.jp93%match2¢-100%
iPhone's first "foldable" model announced, starting at a record high of 364,800 yen. Will New Yorkers buy it? A dedicated section for foldable phones is also being set up in Japan.
YESchinesewsj94%match1¢-100%
At Apple's highly anticipated fall product launch event, John Tenus, as the new CEO, made his first appearance on stage and showcased the foldable iPhone Duo, which starts at $1,999. Despite the high price, the price increase wasn't as significant as some analysts had predicted.
YESyna.co.kr93%match2¢-100%
Apple Stock Falls 0.3% After Unveiling Foldable iPhone
YESnews.sky.com95%match2¢-100%
Apple launches first foldable iPhone
YESthetimes.com94%match2¢-100%
Apple launches its first foldable iPhone
YESBloomberg Reporter93%match2¢-100%
Apple Inc. unveiled the company’s first foldable smartphone during a wide-ranging event Wednesday, betting that a new category can energize growth for its biggest-selling lineup.
YESdbws.io92%match2¢-100%
Apple Introduces Foldable iPhone -- WSJ
YESzerohedge93%match1¢-100%
Apple's Long-Awaited Foldable iPhone Arrives. Will It Fit In Your Pocket?
YEScls.cn97%match28¢-100%
September 10 (Cailian Press) – Apple has released a foldable iPhone, named the iPhone Duo; the unfolded iPhone Duo is the thinnest iPhone ever; it will be equipped with dual cameras.
YESSky News Arabia95%match14¢-100%
Apple unveils a foldable iPhone
NOetnews.com92%match40¢+150%
Apple’s First Foldable Launch in Korea After October… Lag for iPhone 18

Where does the news lean?

23YES1NO27neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 94%.

Past moves on this market

Material odds moves (≥8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.

How did this market resolve?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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