Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30? Odds fell to 5% on Sep 9, 2026

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30? On Sep 9, 2026, 17:56 UTC, the market’s odds fell from 14.5¢ to 5.2¢ (-9.3 pts) within an hour of a news signal, one of a 3-source news cluster, from Sky News Arabia. The market has since resolved No.

How did the odds move?

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Sep 9, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

• Sep 9, 2026, 18:05 UTC28¢ → 2.8¢-25.2 ptsafter a signal from cls.cn

What moved the odds?

Part of a 3-source news cluster, first seen Sep 9, 2026, 18:04 UTC. The triggering signal is listed first.

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of Oct 25, 2026, 02:29 UTC.

Vol$126K

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Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for When will Apple release a foldable iPhone? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.