Anthropic IPO Closing Market CapNo IPO by December 31, 2027
Open$81Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 2% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES2¢
NO98¢
as of
What moved the odds?
13 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Anthropic expected to IPO despite market uncertainty, AI slowdown calls
Anthropic's IPO prospectus warns of government policy risks, potentially impacting its global operations.
NOReuters91%match98¢
Exclusive - Anthropic Warns That Government Attitudes Toward the Company, Its Technology Could Have Implications for Its Business - IPO Prospectus Seen by Reuters
Anthropic's IPO prospectus details steep losses, existential risks
"Catastrophic or existential risks for humanity": in its IPO prospectus, Anthropic issues this extraordinary warning to its future shareholders.
"Catastrophic or existential risks for humanity": in its IPO prospectus, Anthropic issues this extraordinary warning to its future shareholders.
Anthropic's IPO prospectus revealed, showcasing its AI strategy and massive losses.
Leaked Anthropic IPO Prospectus Shows $42BN Net Loss, $518BN In Unfunded Spending Commitments, And $20BN In Cash
AI: Anthropic's IPO prospectus is expected to show high losses
Live: Anthropic will caution investors that artificial intelligence could pose “catastrophic or existential risks to humanity” in its IPO prospectus. As Anthropic pre
ANTHROPIC'S IPO PROSPECTUS SHOWS 2025 REVENUE UP 12X TO NEARLY $4.6B • • - Revenue: nearly $4.6B, up 12-fold • - Operating loss: $8.06B, from $2.98B in 2024 • - Net loss: about $42B, including a roughly $34B accounting charge tied to financing that could convert to shares • - Compute and infrastructure spending: $7.33B, up threefold, more than half of $12.65B in total operating expenses • - Cash, equivalents, and short-term investments: $20.28B as of December 31 • • The prospectus shows $518B in cloud, computing, and infrastructure obligations. Nearly a quarter of 2025 revenue came from two customers, and Anthropic warned many of its largest clients are not locked into long-term contracts. • • The listing could value the company at more than $2T and is likely to be pushed past the November midterms, per Reuters sources. Anthropic declined to comment.
ANTHROPIC STILL EYES 2026 IPO • • Anthropic is still likely to go public in 2026, despite growing debate over AI safety and regulation, Axios reports. • • The Claude maker reportedly views public-market transparency as potentially strengthening its safety case and has chosen Nasdaq for its listing. • • OpenAI, meanwhile, is still leaning toward a 2027 IPO.
Anthropic IPO filing will show AI backlash as a risk factor, sources say
Where does the news lean?
4YES20NO4neutraltrailing 24h
Signal flow leans NO at 81% — signal sentiment, not the market price. Average match confidence across the listed signals: 94%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
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