Iran leader end of 2026?Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani
Open$307Kas of
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The market prices a 0% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
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NO100¢
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3 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Message from the Speaker of the Parliament on the occasion of the anniversary of the liberation of Khorramshahr No enemy can stand against the loving and faithful soldiers of Iran In a message on the occasion of the 3rd of Khorramshahr, the anniversary of the liberation of Khorramshahr, Dr. Qalibaf, the Speaker of the Islamic Consultative Assembly, emphasized that no enemy can stand against the loving and faithful soldiers of Iran, and that a Mujahideen who practices planning, trust, and courage will have the helping hand of the Most Gracious God on his shoulders and will not accept obstruction. The text of the message is as follows:
The dawn of the 3rd of Khorramshahr is a reminder of the bravery of the Mujahideen who fought the devil and pulled our beloved Khorramshahr out of the clutches of criminals like Saddam and the Baath regime. A great day when the world saw the willpower of the soldiers of the great Imam Khomeini, may God have mercy on him, with its own eyes and recorded their exemplary courage in history. Rashidi Mujahideen such as Martyr Ahmad Kazemi and Martyr Ali Sayyad Shirazi, who made the impossible possible and taught us that no enemy can stand against the loving and faithful soldiers of Iran, and a Mujahideen who practices planning, trust, and courage will have the helping hand of the Most Gracious God on his shoulder and will not accept obstruction. Today, the soldiers of the Rashid Leader of the Revolution, His Holiness Ayatollah Seyyed Mojtaba Khamenei, may God protect him, who were raised in the school of their martyred Imam, have amazed and astonished the world with their bravery and have kept alive the memory of the commanders of the beloved Khorramshahr conquest. Young people who are reminiscent of the Kharazis, the Hemmats, the Bagheris, the Bakiris, the Soleimanis, and thousands of other heroes of this homeland. Young people who come from the heart of the nation and represent their sisters and brothers on the street on the battlefield. The 3rd of Khordad is definitely the beginning of the unparalleled bravery of Iranian warriors, warriors who, according to the words of the Leader of the Nation, His Highness the Grand Ayatollah Martyr Seyyed Ali Hosseini Khamenei of Khorramshahr, have a path ahead of them, and God Almighty has closed the path of defeat for them. The warriors who taught the world honor and dignity will be bestowed upon a nation that has faith, will, zeal, and courage alongside expertise and effort, and such a nation will never taste the bitter taste of defeat. I commemorate this great, fateful, and proud day, which this year coincides with the anniversary of the martyrdom of the science-shattering Imam Muhammad Baqir, peace be upon him, and I send my greetings to the noble nation of Iran and to the high spirit of all the commanders, warriors, and mujahideen who have achieved such honor in every field, and I ask God Almighty to answer the prayers of the Great Guardian of Allah for the sacrificed souls for the great nation of Iran.
@TasnimNews
NOIranian Media98%match100¢
The widespread allegiance and support for the Supreme Leader of the Revolution will lead to the humiliation of the enemies and the victory of those who seek justice. Ayatollah Seyyed Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani, member of the Guardian Council: With condolences on the days of martyrdom and mourning of the Commander of the Faithful and Imam of the Mujahideen, Ali (peace be upon him), as well as the martyrdom of the dear leader of our revolution, Ayatollah Imam Khamenei (may Allah be pleased with him), and the martyrdom of the honorable armed forces, revolutionary men and women, and innocent children of the Islamic sovereign Iran, to the holy presence of the Supreme Leader of the Age of Sacrificed Souls, and to the great nation of Iran and all the seekers of justice in the world. Reiterating appreciation for the timely and epic revolutionary presence of the noble Iranian nation, the issue of electing the new leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran in extremely sensitive and fateful circumstances was put on the agenda, and finally, on the 19th Night of Power of the Holy Month of Ramadan, in an environment full of commitment, responsibility, and sincerity, with open, faithful discussions and discussions as required by the specific circumstances, His Holiness Ayatollah Hajj Seyyed Mojtaba Khamenei, may God preserve him, was elected and introduced as the most worthy leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran. With the announcement of this news, a wave of joy and hope swept across the country and all fronts of the right to resistance, and the black world of the companions of the cursed island of child killers and cannibals, namely the American Zionist aggressors, was humiliated. May Almighty God protect and support our beloved leader of the revolution, under the protection of the Guardian of the Age, and may He bless the leadership of this son of Fatima al-Zahra, peace be upon her, and may He make it the beginning of the blessing of the country's development and prosperity. Pledge of allegiance and widespread domestic support for the leadership of the revolution will lead to the defeat and humiliation of the enemies and the victory of those who seek justice. May God grant the beloved leader of the revolution the ability to powerfully lead the country's system, like his two righteous successors. nournews.ir @Nournews_IR
NOIran Semi-Official Tasnim98%match100¢
Pledge of allegiance and widespread support for the Supreme Leader of the Revolution will lead to the humiliation of enemies and the victory of those who seek justice. Ayatollah Seyyed Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani, member of the Guardian Council: With condolences on the days of martyrdom and mourning of the Commander of the Faithful and Imam of the Mujahideen, Ali (peace be upon him), as well as the martyrdom of the dear leader of our revolution, Ayatollah Imam Khamenei (may Allah be pleased with him), and the martyrdom of the honorable armed forces, revolutionary men and women, and innocent children of the Islamic sovereign Iran, to the holy presence of the Supreme Leader of the Age of Sacrificed Souls, and to the great nation of Iran and all the seekers of justice in the world. Reiterating appreciation for the timely and epic revolutionary presence of the noble Iranian nation, the issue of electing the new leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran in extremely sensitive and fateful circumstances was put on the agenda, and finally, on the 19th Night of Power of the Holy Month of Ramadan, in an environment full of commitment, responsibility, and sincerity, with open, faithful discussions and discussions as required by the specific circumstances, His Holiness Ayatollah Hajj Seyyed Mojtaba Khamenei, may God preserve him, was elected and introduced as the most worthy leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran. With the announcement of this news, a wave of joy and hope swept across the country and all fronts of the right to resistance, and the black world of the companions of the cursed island of child killers and cannibals, namely the American Zionist aggressors, was humiliated. May Almighty God protect and support our beloved leader of the revolution, under the protection of the Guardian of the Age, and may He bless the leadership of this son of Fatima al-Zahra, peace be upon her, and may He make it the beginning of the blessing of the country's development and prosperity. Pledge of allegiance and widespread domestic support for the leadership of the revolution will lead to the defeat and humiliation of the enemies and the victory of those who seek justice. May God grant the beloved leader of the revolution the ability to powerfully lead the country's system, like his two righteous successors.
Where does the news lean?
0YES3NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
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