AfD wins the most seats in how many September state elections?3
ResolvedOutcome: No$46Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
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12 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
German far-right party becomes the largest party in state elections; Chancellor's conservative party loses all seats; Berlin also suffers defeat, pressure to resign
The Left Party of Germany won the state elections in Berlin, the country's capital, and the Alternative for Germany party won the state elections in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern.
The hardline right-wing AfD is likely to become the largest party in the German state elections, and is poised to become the third largest party in Berlin.
Germany: AfD comes out on top in regional elections in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania, left wins in Berlin
The Alternative for Germany (AfD) party makes strong gains in state elections and comes in second in Berlin. [in reply to: What does the rise of the AfD in Germany mean?! The election campaign of the party accused of extremism and closeness to Russia: - Normalization of German-Russian relations
- Stopping immigration
- Restarting the Nord Stream 1 and 2 gas pipelines
- Leaving the European Union.
Alternative for Germany makes strong gains in state elections and comes in second in Berlin
In Germany, the radical left was victorious in Berlin, with the AfD leading in the "Meck-Pom"
The Merz government faces increasing headwinds after defeat in the German Eastern Parliament elections; the far-right AfD wins a landslide victory.
Germany's "far-right shock": AfD becomes the largest party in former East German state elections, shaking the Merz government.
Germany's far-right AfD wins landslide victory in former East German state parliament elections... Will it come to power unclear (Roundup)
Political earthquake in Germany; Far-right party scores significant victory in state elections For the first time since World War II and the fall of the Nazis, a far-right party has achieved a significant victory in German elections. New estimates indicate that the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) party remains in the lead by a wide margin with 44 percent of the vote. Get the latest news:
Site | ETA | Yes | Rubika | Soroush Plus @snntv
[UPDATE] Far-right AfD surges to first place in German state elections (first reported at 2026-09-06T16:26:54Z)
Where does the news lean?
16YES15NO88neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 94%.
How did this market resolve?
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (also known as Saxony-Anhalt), the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in September of 2026.
This market will resolve to the number of elections, among those three listed, in which Alternative für Deutschland, also referred to as AfD or Alternative for Germany, wins or ties for the greatest number of seats in these elections.
No other election in a German state parliamentary body will be considered, even if it is held in September of 2026.
A delayed election to any of the three referenced bodies will be considered so long as voting is completed by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official websites of the listed parliamentary bodies. No potential challenge or invalidation of an election that occurs after the publication of the official results will be relevant to this market.
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