Russia Parliamentary Election: 4th PlaceA Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
ResolvedOutcome: No$3Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
6 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
How A Just Russia achieved a historically low percentage of votes in the elections
A Just Russia failed to overcome the 5% threshold in the State Duma elections in the federal district after more than 95% of the ballots were processed.
A Just Russia falls short of the 5% threshold needed to enter the State Duma.
"A Just Russia" has dropped below 5% in the State Duma elections after 79.08% of the votes have been processed. Four parties are entering the Duma: "United Russia" is gaining 57.69%; CPRF - 13.96%; LDPR - 8.75%; "New People" - 7.97%. To stay up to date with the latest news: Website | MAX | Telegram
A Just Russia party fell below the 5% threshold in the Duma elections.
NONews95%match96¢+4%
A JUST RUSSIA FAILED TO OVERCOME THE 5% BARRIER IN THE STATE DUMA ELECTIONS, AFTER PROCESSING MORE THAN 79% OF THE PROTOCOLS, ACCORDING TO THE CEC.
Where does the news lean?
5YES16NO5neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 95%.
How did this market resolve?
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
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See all outcomes for Russia Parliamentary Election: 4th Place — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.