Where will a hurricane make landfall in the US during the 2026 hurricane season?Florida
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$4Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
14 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
The first hurricane of the 2026 Atlantic season roared into Florida late Friday, unleashing destructive winds, extensive flooding and spinning up tornadoes across the Southeast. CBS News’ @JasonAllenLive reports on the damage.
In the United States, more than 860,000 people were left without power due to Hurricane Isaias, The Guardian writes. As of 10:36 BST (12:36 Moscow time), 436,745 people were without power in Florida, 316,366 in Alabama, 87,334 in Georgia, 6,550 in Washington, 4,467 in California, 4,404 in Texas, 3,827 in Ohio, and 1,549 in Idaho. According to the National Hurricane Center (NHC), the hurricane will reach the Tennessee River. Experts expect the heaviest damage to be recorded in southern Alabama, the Florida Panhandle, and southwest Georgia (regions may suffer from flooding caused by heavy rains). Landslides are possible in the southern Appalachians. X / FloridaPA27 Max | Telegram | Newsletter | iOS App | Android
Hurricane Isaias Makes Landfall in Florida -- WSJ
Powerful Hurricane Isaias made landfall on the coast of Florida, leaving approximately 600,000 people without power. The epicenter of the storm was the resort town of Destin. Isaias made landfall near Destin, a resort town in northwest Florida known for its white beaches and tourist resorts. Sustained winds reached 169 km/h (105 mph). The storm brought heavy rains and the threat of widespread flooding. A flash flood warning was issued in Okaloosa County, where Destin is located. Authorities evacuated residents of the most vulnerable coastal areas. Across Florida and neighboring Alabama, approximately 600,000 customers were left without power. The final extent of the damage and the number of victims are being determined.
Hurricane Isaias makes landfall in Florida
YESXinhua94%match98¢+2%
Urgent: Hurricane Isaias makes landfall in U.S. Florida
Hurricane Isaias makes landfall in Florida: NHC
Americans along the Gulf Coast are evacuating and preparing for Hurricane Isaias as the powerful Category 3 storm closes in, with a dangerous landfall expected tonight. • • Isaias is projected to come ashore between Gulf Shores, Alabama, and Destin, Florida. Category 3 hurricanes can cause “devastating damage,” according to the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. • • Some coastal areas could see 6 to 9 feet of storm surge, while parts of the Florida Panhandle could get up to 15 inches of rain. Damaging winds, widespread power outages, and tornadoes are also possible as the storm pushes inland. • • Get the latest updates on the storm from @foxweather :
Americans along the Gulf Coast are evacuating and preparing for Hurricane Isaias as the powerful Category 3 storm closes in, with a dangerous landfall expected tonight. • • Isaias is projected to come ashore between Gulf Shores, Alabama, and Destin, Florida. Category 3 hurricanes can cause “devastating damage,” according to the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. • • Some coastal areas could see 6 to 9 feet of storm surge, while parts of the Florida Panhandle could get up to 15 inches of rain. Damaging winds, widespread power outages, and tornadoes are also possible as the storm pushes inland. • • Get the latest updates on the storm from Fox Weather:
USA: Hurricane Isaias is expected to hit the Gulf Coast of Florida, Alabama and Mississippi early on Oct. 10 local time. Heavy rain and winds could lead to flooding and landslides. State of emergency declared and evacuation orders issued locally in several areas. See
Live: Officials have issued states of emergency in more than 60 counties in Alabama and Florida, and for the whole state of Georgia. There are mandatory evacuation orders along parts of the northwest Florida coasts, and visitors in parts of coastal Alabama are also required to leave.
Hurricane Isaias, now a Cat 2, is expected to make landfall along the U.S. Gulf Coast late Friday or early Saturday, threatening parts of Mississippi, Alabama and the western part of the Florida Panhandle. Meteorologist @RobMarciano is tracking the storm.
Hurricane Isaias threatens parts of Florida and Alabama with coastal flooding and heavy rain, prompting a state of emergency and mandatory evacuation orders in two counties in the Florida Panhandle.
[UPDATE] Hurricane Isaias is expected to get stronger on its way to Florida, Alabama and Mississippi coasts (first reported at 2026-10-08T05:37:27Z)
Where does the news lean?
17YES0NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 92%.
How did this market resolve?
This market resolves based on whether a hurricane will make landfall in the state specified in the title between market creation and November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A market resolves to "Yes" if a hurricane makes landfall in that state within the timeframe, as described in official National Hurricane Center (NHC) advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/); for Hawaii, NOAA Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC) advisories also apply. Otherwise, that market resolves to "No".
A hurricane landfall is said to occur when a hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL) and the NHC reports maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or higher (Category 1 or greater) at the time of landfall. The state of landfall is determined by the surface center's location when it crosses the coastline. If a single hurricane makes separate landfalls in more than one listed state, each such state resolves to "Yes".
Hurricane season runs from June 1, 2026 - November 30, 2026.
Each market resolves based on the initial NHC (or CPHC) advisory reporting a qualifying landfall in the relevant state, regardless of any later retraction or reanalysis. Each market may only resolve to "No" after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or, if an extension period applies, after December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, if the conditions for a "Yes" resolution have not been met.
If an active tropical cyclone at hurricane strength is over water per official NHC or CPHC advisories as of 11:59 PM ET on November 30, 2026, the relevant market(s) will operate under an extension period of 7 days, and the resolution date will move to December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET; a qualifying landfall by that hurricane during the extension period will count toward resolution.
If a qualifying landfall occurs within a market's timeframe (including any extension period) but has not yet been confirmed by an NHC or CPHC advisory by the resolution date, that market will remain open until such an advisory is issued.
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