US x China tariff agreement by December 31?September 30
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$47Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
30 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
China and the US agree on a $30 billion tariff cut
The US and China agreed on more favorable tariffs for $30 billion worth of goods. During Chinese President Xi's visit to the US, it was reported that the two countries agreed on recommendations for more favorable tariffs on $30 billion worth of non-sensitive goods in bilateral trade. Joint steps to be taken by the two countries on artificial intelligence were also discussed during Xi's visit. ➔ Accordingly, it was announced that the US and China agreed to initiate dialogue and establish a communication channel for accidents related to artificial intelligence technology.
US and China agree to reduce tariffs on $30 billion worth of goods
Reuters: China and the US have agreed to reduce tariffs on $30 billion worth of goods.
US, China agree to cut tariffs on $30 billion worth of goods, set up channel for AI incidents The U.S. and China agreed to lower tariffs on $30 billion worth of goods each country imports from the other and launch new talks on artificial intelligence (AI) following President Trump’s summit with Chinese President Xi Jinping. The agreements were part of an eight-point consensus reached during Xi’s three-day state visit to Washington, D.C., which…
China and the United States agree on reciprocal arrangements to reduce tariffs worth $30 billion.
China and the US reach eight-point consensus (September 26, 2026)
US and China agree on tariff relief for $30bn of nonsensitive goods each
Live: China and US 'reach new economic and trade agreement'
The United States and China have extended a "trade truce" until January next year, US Treasury Secretary Bessant said, quoted by Bloomberg. As part of it, the United States applies a 20% tariff to goods and raw materials from China. The States also want China to ease its exports of rare earth metals. [in reply to: Chinese leader Xi Jinping arrived in the United States for the first time in more than a decade. Trump personally met him at the plane, ABC News reports. Xi Jinping will be in the United States for a three-day visit, today he will have bilateral talks with Trump.]
Secretary Bessent said the US and China have agreed to extend their trade-war truce by to January 10. • • Asked whether a broader agreement can be reached by the new date, Bessent said, “I don’t know whether a bigger deal can be done. I don’t know whether we will just roll the current deal.” •
The US and China have agreed to extend the trade truce between the two countries until January 10th.
The US and China have extended their trade truce until January 10.
US and China agree to extend trade truce for two months; talks on the future of trade relations.
The US and China have extended their trade agreement until January 10.
The US and China extend truce in the trade war
The US and China agree to extend the trade truce for two months.
U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessant said Wednesday that the United States and China will extend their bilateral trade truce until mid-January. This move avoids the implementation of higher tariffs originally scheduled for November if the two sides fail to reach an agreement.
US and China agree to extend trade truce until January: Bessent
Live: The agreement described by Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent to postpone a trade truce for two months, to Jan. 10 from Nov. 10, will allow the United States and China to put aside their differences through four major events in the coming weeks. For the United States, these are the mid-term elections on Nov. 3 and the Group of 20 summit of world leaders in Miami in December. For China, these are the annual gathering of the Communist Party’s Central Committee in Beijing in October and the summit of Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation presidents and prime ministers in Shenzhen, China, in November.
Trade truce extended, and Besent agrees to continue until January next year in renewed ministerial-level talks between the US and China.
Live: The US and China agree to extend their trade truce
Live: As the Chinese leader arrived in Washington for a state visit, Scott Bessent, the Treasury secretary who is leading the trade talks with China, said that the United States and China have agreed to extend a trade truce they struck in South Korea last year for two more months past a November deadline. The truce involves the United States suspending tariffs and other restrictions on the Chinese economy, and China agreeing to provide a steady flow of rare earth minerals needed by a variety of U.S. factories. The truce will be extended until January 10, Bessent said, “to give us more time to see what we can do on the economic front.”
Live: US and China to extend trade truce through January
Live: US and China agree to extend trade war truce, says Bessent
Bessent: US and China to extend tariff reduction agreement until January 10, 2027
Bessant stated that the US and China agreed to extend the trade truce for two months until January 10th.
The United States and China have agreed to extend the Busan Agreement, US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent told Fox News. The Busan Agreement was signed by Donald Trump and Xi Jinping in October 2025 at the APEC summit. The agreement aims to ease trade tensions.
U.S. and China agree to extend trade truce through January 10, Bessent says
TASS: The United States and China have agreed to extend agreements aimed at easing trade tensions until January 10, according to the US Treasury Secretary.
Where does the news lean?
28YES2NO4neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 93%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and the listed date 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
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