US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$303Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
36 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
China and the US agree on a $30 billion tariff cut
The US and China agreed to cut tariffs by $30 billion after Xi's visit.
The US and China agreed on more favorable tariffs for $30 billion worth of goods. During Chinese President Xi's visit to the US, it was reported that the two countries agreed on recommendations for more favorable tariffs on $30 billion worth of non-sensitive goods in bilateral trade. Joint steps to be taken by the two countries on artificial intelligence were also discussed during Xi's visit. ➔ Accordingly, it was announced that the US and China agreed to initiate dialogue and establish a communication channel for accidents related to artificial intelligence technology.
US, China agree to cut tariffs on $30 billion worth of goods, set up channel for AI incidents • •
US and China agree to reduce tariffs on $30 billion worth of goods
US, China strike deal to lower tariffs on $30B in goods after Trump-Xi Washington summit
China and the United States have agreed to reduce tariffs on $30 billion worth of goods, Reuters reports. The countries also agreed to launch a dialogue on artificial intelligence. The United States and China want to create a communication channel for AI-related incidents. The next round of discussions is scheduled for November. Max | Telegram | Newsletter | iOS App | Android [in reply to: The meeting between the US and Chinese leaders in Washington is ceremonial in nature, according to experts interviewed by Vedomosti. Trump treats Xi as an equal and demonstrates respect, according to Dmitry Kochegurov, a research fellow at ISCRAS. However, despite the fact that a lot of effort was invested in organizing the meeting, the main issues have not been resolved: in the trade war, there is only a truce, says Vasily Kashin, Director of the Center for Comprehensive Economics and Seminars at the Higher School of Economics. In his opinion, this is, if not a major failure, then a very limited result. If it was not possible to agree on a position before a major event, "it means the parties have very big problems." This is traditional for many of Trump's summits, Kashin points out. "He holds them counting on his personal magnetism, that he will now decide everything 'with the main boss,' but in the end, nothing moves," the expert says. Max | Telegram | Newsletter | iOS App | Android]
Reuters: China and the US have agreed to reduce tariffs on $30 billion worth of goods.
US, China agree to cut tariffs on $30 billion worth of goods, set up channel for AI incidents The U.S. and China agreed to lower tariffs on $30 billion worth of goods each country imports from the other and launch new talks on artificial intelligence (AI) following President Trump’s summit with Chinese President Xi Jinping. The agreements were part of an eight-point consensus reached during Xi’s three-day state visit to Washington, D.C., which…
China agrees to import 20 million tons of US coal; tariff breaks for both sides also to be finalized.
U.S, China reach $30 billion tariff deal after Trump-Xi summit
U.S, China reach $30 billion tariff deal after Trump-Xi summit
China and the United States agree on reciprocal arrangements to reduce tariffs worth $30 billion.
U.S., China Agree to Reduce Tariffs on $30 Billion of Trade -- WSJ
China, US agree to $30 billion tariff cut, AI dialogue during Xi visit
US and China agree on tariff relief for $30bn of nonsensitive goods each
Live: China and US 'reach new economic and trade agreement'
Live: US and China extend their trade truce through January
Secretary Bessent said the US and China have agreed to extend their trade-war truce by to January 10. • • Asked whether a broader agreement can be reached by the new date, Bessent said, “I don’t know whether a bigger deal can be done. I don’t know whether we will just roll the current deal.” •
The US and China have agreed to extend the trade truce between the two countries until January 10th.
The US and China have extended their trade truce until January 10.
The US and China have extended their trade agreement until January 10.
The US and China agree to extend the trade truce for two months.
US and China agree to extend trade truce until January: Bessent
Live: The agreement described by Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent to postpone a trade truce for two months, to Jan. 10 from Nov. 10, will allow the United States and China to put aside their differences through four major events in the coming weeks. For the United States, these are the mid-term elections on Nov. 3 and the Group of 20 summit of world leaders in Miami in December. For China, these are the annual gathering of the Communist Party’s Central Committee in Beijing in October and the summit of Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation presidents and prime ministers in Shenzhen, China, in November.
Live: The US and China agree to extend their trade truce
Progress made in US-China trade negotiations; trade truce extended to January 10, 2027.
Live: As the Chinese leader arrived in Washington for a state visit, Scott Bessent, the Treasury secretary who is leading the trade talks with China, said that the United States and China have agreed to extend a trade truce they struck in South Korea last year for two more months past a November deadline. The truce involves the United States suspending tariffs and other restrictions on the Chinese economy, and China agreeing to provide a steady flow of rare earth minerals needed by a variety of U.S. factories. The truce will be extended until January 10, Bessent said, “to give us more time to see what we can do on the economic front.”
Live: US and China to extend trade truce through January
Bessent: US and China to extend tariff reduction agreement until January 10, 2027
Bessant stated that the US and China agreed to extend the trade truce for two months until January 10th.
U.S. and China agree to extend trade truce through January 10, Bessent says
TASS: The United States and China have agreed to extend agreements aimed at easing trade tensions until January 10, according to the US Treasury Secretary.
NEWS: US and China are discussing cutting or eliminating China’s 15% tariff on U.S. LNG as part of a broader energy and agriculture package that could be announced when Xi Jinping visits Washington next week, two people familiar with discussions tell me. • • The framework could also see each side cut tariffs on about $30B of goods. • • The move could reopen China’s market to U.S. LNG producers as a wave of new Gulf Coast export capacity comes online.
NEWS: US and China are discussing cutting or eliminating China’s 15% tariff on U.S. LNG as part of a broader energy and agriculture package that could be announced when Xi Jinping visits Washington nextA week, two people familiar with discussions tell me. • • The framework could also see each side cut tariffs on about $30B of goods. • • The move could reopen China’s market to U.S. LNG producers as a wave of new Gulf Coast export capacity comes online.
China and the US will extend the trade truce agreement
Where does the news lean?
39YES4NO16neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 93%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and the listed date 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.