US charges Hormuz feesAugust 31

OpenVol$180KDeadlineas of

Odds now

The market prices a 0% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

20 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .

NOSky News Arabia94%match99¢+1%
Politico, citing a White House official: Any fees or taxes levied through the Strait of Hormuz are out of the question for the United States.
NOabcnews.com92%match98¢+2%
Live: US official says Iran-Oman deal to reopen Strait will not have 'tolls or charges'
NOSky News Arabia94%match98¢+2%
A US official stated that any temporary passages in the Strait of Hormuz would be free of any obstacles, meaning no approvals or permits would be required, and no transit fees or other charges would be imposed.
NOnews.tv-asahi.co.jp93%match98¢+2%
US reports indicate a tentative agreement is nearing opening of the Strait of Hormuz; mines will be cleared within 30 days; and there will be no tolls during this period.
NOAl Jazeera93%match98¢+2%
Axios, citing sources: The agreement stipulates that no fees will be imposed for crossing the Strait of Hormuz for a period of 60 days.
NOUkrainian Media96%match98¢+2%
Trump says Hormuz will be opened today and for free The US and Iran are moving quickly in negotiations and are discussing the full restoration of normal shipping in the Strait of Hormuz as early as Tuesday, August 4, the US president said. Trump assured that passage through the strait will be free for all vessels. "I will not allow them to charge any fee. They will not charge any fee, we are not discussing any fee," Trump said. Read only the gist from RBC-Ukraine on Google.
NOUkrinform Agency93%match98¢+2%
The US and Iran are discussing the full opening of the Strait of Hormuz as early as August 4 "We are discussing the Strait, its opening literally by tomorrow (August 4 - ed.). Full opening," said US President Donald Trump. He assured that passage through the Strait will be free for all ships, because the US has established full control over this sea route and will not allow Iran to charge any fees. Subscribe to Ukrinform | Facebook | X | YouTube
NOiranintl95%match98¢+2%
Asked whether Tehran would be willing to restore full freedom of navigation through the Strait of Hormuz, US President Donald Trump said: “It has to be. I’m not going to let them charge money or set a fee. If someone is going to charge a fee, we’re going to charge it.” Emphasizing that the goal is for the Strait of Hormuz to be “fully open by tomorrow,” Trump added: “We have complete control of the Strait of Hormuz. There’s not going to be any fee. There’s no question of charging a fee.”
NOiranintlbrk94%match98¢+2%
Asked whether Tehran would be willing to restore full freedom of navigation through the Strait, Trump said: "It has to be. I will not allow them to charge money or set a fee. If anyone is going to charge a fee, we will charge it. We have complete control of the Strait of Hormuz. There is not going to be any fee. There is no question of charging a fee at all."
NOfoxnews.com93%match98¢+2%
Live: US official says proposed Hormuz deal would not include tolls or fees: report
NOJordanian Media92%match98¢+2%
US official: Agreement with Iran will not include any transit fees through the Strait of Hormuz #Iran #UnitedStates #HereIsTheKingdom
NOalhadath94%match98¢+2%
US official: The agreement being discussed regarding Hormuz will not include any fees.
NOalarabiya94%match98¢+2%
A US official: The agreement currently being discussed regarding Hormuz will not include any fees.
NOiranintl92%match98¢+2%
Reuters reported that a coordination agreement being considered for traffic through the strait would not charge any tolls or fees for crossing the international waterway. He said the Islamic Republic had made unreasonable demands, but Oman and the United States rejected them.
NOiranintlbrk94%match98¢+2%
A US official told Reuters: The agreement under consideration regarding the Strait of Hormuz and the post-Iran war is focused solely on coordinating passage through this waterway and will not include any tolls or fees for ships to pass through.
NOAl Jazeera93%match98¢+2%
Reuters, quoting a US official: The agreement being discussed regarding the Strait of Hormuz concerns coordination and does not involve transit fees or other charges.
NOAl Hadath92%match98¢+2%
A US official told Reuters: The agreement being discussed regarding the Strait of Hormuz concerns coordination and does not include any fees.
NOalarabytv92%match98¢+2%
#Breaking | Reuters, quoting a US official: The agreement being discussed regarding the Strait of Hormuz concerns coordination and does not involve transit fees or other charges.
NOn12news99%match92¢+9%
Trump explained why he canceled the collection of fees in the Strait of Hormuz: "Different people from other countries, strong partners, wrote to me, and they said they would like to do it a different way - invest billions of dollars in the United States."
NOiranintlbrk99%match92¢+9%
TRUMP: They said, "We'd like to do it differently. We'd rather invest billions and billions of dollars in America than pay a fee and continue our record-breaking investment, because there's never been a time like this for America, with factories, manufacturing facilities, everything else." And I actually like that proposal, because I don't think anybody could charge a fee for a strait, or any kind of similar sea route in other parts of the world. I don't think anybody should really be in that position.

Where does the news lean?

4YES31NO7neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 94%.

What would make this resolve YES?

This market will resolve "Yes" if the United States government collects a payment from any shipping company, vessel, foreign government, or other relevant entity as a fee, toll, or reimbursement for transit through the Strait of Hormuz, or for the protection of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement. The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection. The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.

Related markets

See all outcomes for US charges Hormuz fees — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.

Other outcomes in this event

Trending now