US charges Hormuz feesJuly 17
ResolvedOutcome: No$394Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
2 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Trump explained why he canceled the collection of fees in the Strait of Hormuz: "Different people from other countries, strong partners, wrote to me, and they said they would like to do it a different way - invest billions of dollars in the United States."
TRUMP: They said, "We'd like to do it differently. We'd rather invest billions and billions of dollars in America than pay a fee and continue our record-breaking investment, because there's never been a time like this for America, with factories, manufacturing facilities, everything else." And I actually like that proposal, because I don't think anybody could charge a fee for a strait, or any kind of similar sea route in other parts of the world. I don't think anybody should really be in that position.
Where does the news lean?
1YES3NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve "Yes" if the United States government collects a payment from any shipping company, vessel, foreign government, or other relevant entity as a fee, toll, or reimbursement for transit through the Strait of Hormuz, or for the protection of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
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