US announces end of Iranian blockadeJuly 24

ResolvedOutcome: NoVol$352KResolvedas of

Odds now

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

50 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .

NOUS Mission to China93%match96¢+4%
Every successful operation in the Middle East relies on the dedicated efforts of officers and soldiers committed to their missions, including enforcing the US blockade against Iran. As of July 21, to fully implement the blockade, the US military had diverted eight merchant ships and rendered one ship immobile.
NOiranintlbrk93%match95¢+5%
US Secretary of War in Senate: The naval blockade of the Islamic Republic has been re-established and is virtually impenetrable. A large part of the US attacks are destroying the Iranian government's ability to monitor and be aware of developments in the Strait of Hormuz.
NOnytimes.com92%match95¢+5%
Live: U.S. forces have turned back eight commercial ships and disabled one since reimposing a blockade on maritime trade with Iran a week ago, U.S. Central Command said on Tuesday. It did not identify the vessels or provide details about the encounters. In the initial blockade, from April to June, the U.S. military said it had diverted more than 100 ships headed to or from Iranian ports.
NOiranintlbrk96%match95¢+5%
CENTCOM announced: As of July 20, US forces have forced eight ships to change course and disabled one ship as part of the naval blockade of Iran.
NOSky News Arabia94%match95¢+5%
The US military: Our forces diverted eight commercial vessels and disabled one ship by July 21 to fully enforce the blockade on Iran.
NOlivesquawk95%match95¢+5%
Every operational success in the Middle East begins and ends with service members focused on their missions, including the U.S. blockade against Iran. As of July 21, U.S. forces have redirected 8 commercial vessels and disabled 1 to fully enforce the blockade.
NOUS Central Command95%match95¢+5%
Every operational success in the Middle East begins and ends with service members focused on their missions, including the U.S. blockade against Iran. As of July 21, U.S. forces have redirected 8 commercial vessels and disabled 1 to fully enforce the blockade.
NOWalter Bloomberg92%match93¢+8%
Trump: The blockade on Iranian ports continues
NOAl Hadath92%match93¢+8%
Trump: The blockade on Iranian ports continues.
NOAsharq91%match93¢+8%
US President: No one can breach our naval blockade of Iran
NOAl Arabiya92%match93¢+8%
Trump: The blockade on Iranian ports continues.
NOUS Mission to China93%match93¢+8%
U.S. Navy personnel aboard the amphibious assault ship USS Boxer (LHD 4) provided round-the-clock support for air operations in the Arabian Sea, supporting Central Command in implementing the maritime blockade against Iran. As of July 20, the U.S. military had diverted seven merchant ships and rendered one ship immobile, preventing it from leaving or entering an Iranian port.
NOiranintl94%match95¢+5%
The US Central Command (CENTCOM) announced on the X-Channel that US forces based on the amphibious assault ship USS Boxer in the Arabian Sea are supporting round-the-clock flight operations to enforce a naval blockade of Iranian ports. CENTCOM added that as of July 10, the US military had diverted the movement of seven commercial vessels and disabled one vessel to prevent them from entering or leaving Iranian ports.
NOUS Central Command93%match95¢+5%
U.S. service members aboard amphibious assault ship USS Boxer (LHD 4) support flight operations day and night from the Arabian Sea as CENTCOM enforces the naval blockade against Iran. As of July 20, the U.S. military has redirected 7 commercial vessels and disabled 1 to prevent the ships from leaving or entering Iranian ports.
NOiranintl96%match95¢+5%
The US Central Command (CENTCOM) announced that sailors from the guided-missile destroyer USS John Finn remain fully prepared to enforce the naval blockade of Iran. CENTCOM added that as of July 19, US forces had diverted six commercial vessels and disabled one vessel to ensure full implementation of the naval blockade.
NOiranintlbrk92%match96¢+4%
The United States Central Command (CENTCOM) announced on social media that American forces will continue to enforce a naval blockade against the Islamic Republic.
NOAl Jazeera92%match96¢+4%
US Central Command: We redirected 6 ships and disabled one ship until July 19 to ensure full compliance with the blockade
NOaljazeera.com95%match94¢+6%
Live: US military pledges to keep strictly enforcing Iran naval blockade
NOnytimes.com92%match94¢+6%
Live: U.S. Central Command said on Saturday that it was continuing to enforce the naval blockade of Iran that resumed on Tuesday and that it had so far redirected five commercial vessels and disabled one. In its post on social media, Central Command included an image of the guided-missile destroyer Donald Cook sailing in the Arabian Sea with a Navy helicopter flying nearby.
NOAl Arabiya93%match94¢+6%
US military: We continue to impose a naval blockade on Iran
NOfoxnews.com95%match92¢+9%
Live: US forces redirect 4 vessels during renewed Iran naval blockade
NOAl Arabiya94%match92¢+9%
US military: Our forces diverted four commercial vessels as part of the Iranian blockade.
NOAsharq94%match92¢+9%
US military: Our forces diverted four commercial vessels as part of the Iranian blockade.
NOiranintlbrk97%match92¢+9%
The United States continues to enforce a naval blockade of Iranian ports and coasts, CENTCOM announced. In the first three days of the operation, four commercial vessels were forced to divert, one vessel was disabled, and another vessel was inspected.
NOdbws.io95%match92¢+9%
US military says it redirected four vessels as part of blockade on Iran ports
NOlivesquawk96%match92¢+9%
American forces remain vigilant as the United States strictly enforces the naval blockade against Iran. During the first three days of renewed implementation, U.S. forces have redirected 4 commercial vessels, disabled 1, and boarded 1 to ensure full compliance.
NOUS Central Command96%match92¢+9%
American forces remain vigilant as the United States strictly enforces the naval blockade against Iran. During the first three days of renewed implementation, U.S. forces have redirected 4 commercial vessels, disabled 1, and boarded 1 to ensure full compliance.
NODepartment of War/Pentagon94%match92¢+9%
On July 16, U.S. forces successfully destroyed the Chah Bahar Shahid Kalantari Port surveillance tower, part of a maritime surveillance network along Iran’s Gulf of Oman coastline used for decades by the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) to track and target commercial vessels transiting the Strait of Hormuz. • • The destruction of the tower directly degrades IRGC’s ability to coordinate attacks on innocent civilian crew members. Furthermore, the strike protects freedom of navigation in regional waters for all vessels, except for ships attempting to violate the ongoing U.S. naval blockade against Iran.
NOnytimes.com94%match92¢+9%
Live: Renewed hostilities between the United States and Iran continued to disrupt the supply of energy, causing shipping traffic in the Strait of Hormuz to slow to nearly a halt. Just eight ships navigated the artery on Thursday, the second full day of the reinstated U.S. naval blockade of Iran, according to Kpler, a maritime data company. Before the war started in late February, more than 130 ships would pass through the waterway each day. As U.S. strikes on Iran continued for a seventh straight day, Brent crude, the global benchmark for oil, rose 1.5 percent on Friday to between $85 and $86 a barrel.
NOiranintl94%match92¢+9%
A video released by the US military shows US Marines from the 11th Expeditionary Unit inspecting an Islamic Republic-flagged tanker, the Wen Yao, as part of a blockade of southern Iranian ports. The US military said it has so far diverted three merchant ships that attempted to break the blockade and disabled one that disobeyed orders.
NOUS Mission to China93%match92¢+9%
The United States successfully completed a new round of strikes against Iran. Tampa, Florida — At 9:40 p.m. Eastern Time tonight, July 16, U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) completed a new round of large-scale strikes against Iran. Precision-guided munitions launched by U.S. aircraft, drones, and ships struck dozens of Iranian military targets, including coastal surveillance and air defense stations, military logistics infrastructure, and naval forces. This marks the sixth consecutive night of U.S. military strikes against Iran. Following instructions from the Commander-in-Chief, U.S. Central Command is further weakening Iran's military capabilities and holding Iran accountable for its recent attacks on merchant ships. The more than 50,000 U.S. troops deployed throughout the Middle East remain on high alert, possess lethal strike capabilities, and are ready to act at any time. Video: U.S. Central Command, July 16, 2026: U.S. aircraft and precision munitions strike Iranian military targets.
NOalhadath92%match92¢+9%
US forces board a ship to verify its compliance with the blockade imposed on Iranian ports, and divert three other vessels.
NOalarabiya92%match92¢+9%
US forces board a ship to verify its compliance with the blockade imposed on Iranian ports, and divert three other vessels.
NOiranintl93%match92¢+9%
The US and the Islamic Republic continued their reciprocal attacks for a sixth day on Thursday. The US military said it had carried out fresh strikes on military and infrastructure targets in southern Iran, including around Bandar Abbas and Qeshm, in an effort to reduce the Islamic Republic’s ability to threaten shipping in the Strait of Hormuz. At the same time, the Islamic Republic continued to launch missile and drone attacks on US bases in the region. Reuters reported that the resumption of the US naval blockade of Iranian ports and Tehran’s restrictions on the Strait of Hormuz have reduced shipping traffic and raised concerns about the global energy market. Meanwhile, a dispute has emerged between Tehran and Washington over Donald Trump’s comments about the release of an American citizen from Iranian prisons, a claim that the Islamic Republic’s judiciary has denied. Trump also warned of more widespread attacks on Iranian infrastructure if the talks fail, while Tehran insisted it would not lose control of the Strait of Hormuz. Read the full text here
NOWhite House Rapid Response97%match92¢+9%
U.S. Marines from the 11th Marine Expeditionary Unit conduct a verification boarding aboard M/T Wen Yao in the Gulf of Oman, July 16. • • As of today, American forces have redirected 3 commercial vessels trying to run the blockade, disabled 1 that didn’t comply, and boarded 1 to ensure full compliance with the ongoing U.S. naval blockade against Iran. • • The Strait of Hormuz and the surrounding waters remain free and open, except for vessels attempting to violate America’s steel wall blockade.
NOalarabytv92%match92¢+9%
Footage shows the US military intercepting a ship that attempted to breach the blockade imposed on Iranian ports.
NOUS Secretary of War97%match92¢+9%
U.S. Marines from the 11th Marine Expeditionary Unit conduct a verification boarding aboard M/T Wen Yao in the Gulf of Oman, July 16. • • As of today, American forces have redirected 3 commercial vessels trying to run the blockade, disabled 1 that didn’t comply, and boarded 1 to ensure full compliance with the ongoing U.S. naval blockade against Iran. • • The Strait of Hormuz and the surrounding waters remain free and open, except for vessels attempting to violate America’s steel wall blockade.
NOBloomberg Reporter93%match92¢+9%
“As of today, American forces have redirected 3 commercial vessels trying to run the blockade, disabled 1 that didn’t comply, and boarded 1 to ensure full compliance with the ongoing U.S. naval blockade against Iran.”
NOalarabytv92%match92¢+9%
US Central Command releases footage of its forces intercepting a vessel attempting to breach the naval blockade imposed on Iran
NOafp.com93%match92¢+9%
US forces board ship to ensure 'compliance' with Iran blockade
NOAl Hadath93%match92¢+9%
US military: Three commercial vessels diverted and a fourth was disabled as it attempted to breach the Iranian blockade.
NOIranian Journalist94%match92¢+9%
CENTCOM Post (unrelated to tonight's airstrikes): U.S. Central Command U.S. Marines from the 11th Marine Expeditionary Unit boarded the tanker Wen Yao in the Gulf of Oman on July 16 for verification. To date, U.S. forces have diverted three merchant ships attempting to breach the blockade, disabled one ship that disobeyed orders, and boarded one ship to ensure full enforcement of the ongoing U.S. naval blockade of Iran. The Strait of Hormuz and surrounding waters remain free and open, except for ships attempting to breach the U.S. "Iron Wall" blockade. CENTCOM @VahidOnline
NOalarabiya92%match92¢+9%
US military: Three commercial vessels diverted and a fourth was disabled after attempting to breach the blockade on Iran.
NOWhite House Rapid Response94%match90¢+11%
.@PressSec: "There is a blockade of ships, directed by @POTUS, for ships entering and departing Iranian ports only...this blockade was reimposed due to Iran's inability to honor their agreement with the United States...the Strait is OPEN for ships that are not traveling to and from Iranian ports specifically, and the U.S. Navy is there to ensure that can take place."
NOAl Jazeera Mubasher97%match90¢+11%
The White House: The United States is imposing a complete blockade on Iranian ports, and the Strait of Hormuz is open to ships not bound for Iran.
NOms.now95%match87¢+15%
U.S. reimposes blockade, steps up strikes against Iran
NOalhadath91%match87¢+15%
US Central Command releases footage documenting the targeting of an oil tanker that attempted to break the blockade imposed on Iranian ports
NON13/GLZ Reporters95%match90¢+11%
The US began enforcing the naval blockade of Iran: A ship that tried to reach the Iranian island of Kharg did not comply with American instructions - and a missile was launched at it: "The ship is no longer sailing to Iran," CENTCOM said.
NOnews.ntv.co.jp99%match87¢+15%
US Central Command announces additional offensive against Iran and reinstates naval blockade.
NOAl Araby98%match92¢+9%
US Central Command: Our forces are preparing to resume the naval blockade of Iran at 4 AM Eastern Time.

Where does the news lean?

0YES277NO0neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 94%.

How did this market resolve?

On July 13, 2026, Trump announced the United States would reinstate its naval blockade of Iran, targeting Iranian ships and customers. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States government, or an authorized representative of the United States government, publicly and officially announces the end, termination, lifting, or suspension of the United States’ naval blockade on Iranian ships and ships of Iranian customers, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement qualifies if it communicates that the United States will generally cease blocking vessel traffic for Iranian ships and customers, including an announcement that the blockade will not take effect at all, even if some restrictions remain (for example, an imposition of fees). An announcement does not qualify if it reflects only a limited or partial change that stops short of a general end or suspension of the blockade, for example, an exemption for a specific vessel, cargo, or port. A qualifying announcement must be a declarative statement of the United States government’s present termination or suspension of the blockade, previously-unannounced prior termination or suspension of the blockade, or definitive decision to terminate or suspend the blockade. A qualifying announcement must clearly and unambiguously identify the end or suspension of the blockade. Statements that merely allude to, reference, or describe an end to the blockade, without clearly communicating it, do not qualify. The announcement need not use specific terminology or reference the end of a blockade by name; an announcement of a resumption of prior obligations, the maintenance of a status quo, or a return to a previously agreed baseline qualifies, provided the substantive policy of ending or suspending the blockade is clearly and unambiguously communicated. A qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual acting in an official capacity. Statements made incidentally or informally in a context not intended for official communication do not qualify. The following do not qualify: Anonymous, unattributed, or leaked statements not confirmed as official; Statements by persons not authorized to speak for the United States government; Third-party speculation, analysis, or predictions that the United States government will announce or implement an end to the blockade; Satirical, fabricated, hacked, or impersonated communications; and Statements that describe a prospective, contingent, probable, or conditional end to the blockade rather than announcing a present and decided position. Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to “Yes” regardless of whether it is later reversed, or whether the blockade actually ends in practice. Resolution will be based on official information from the United States government, including the President, the Department of Defense, the Department of State, and United States Central Command (CENTCOM), or the official representatives of the United States government.

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