US announces end of Iranian blockadeAugust 22
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A U.S. Navy sailor is on duty in the Operations Intelligence Center. His ship, the USS John Paul Jones (DDG 53), is sailing in the region, carrying out the U.S. blockade of Iran. As of August 19, the U.S. military had ordered 65 merchant ships to change course, rendered 3 merchant ships immobile, and boarded and inspected 2 merchant ships to ensure they were complying with the blockade requirements.
Donald Trump said at the White House on Wednesday, August 19, that the naval blockade of Iran has been “100 percent successful” and that no ships have entered Iran during its implementation. He added that the Strait of Hormuz is now open and many ships are passing through it. Trump said that oil prices, contrary to predictions of reaching $350, are now around $84-85, and predicted that the importance of the Strait of Hormuz will decrease as alternative sources increase and pipelines are built. He also criticized South Korea’s refusal to help the United States in the Strait of Hormuz, saying that the country receives 60 percent of its oil through this route. Trump also told Axios that the United States is not currently negotiating with the Islamic Republic and called negotiations with Tehran a “waste of time.”
Trump: No negotiations with Iran, naval blockade continues 5 PM News Bulletin
Trump: "No talks with Iran, nothing scheduled... Blockade against Iran remains in effect"
Trump: No negotiations with Iran, naval blockade continues
Trump: No negotiations underway or scheduled with Iran... and the naval blockade is strong and effective ====== US President Donald Trump confirms that there are no negotiations underway or scheduled with Iran and that the naval blockade continues. Trump says the Strait of Hormuz is open and operating normally. The US president emphasizes that the naval blockade on Iran is strong and effective. From Al Arabiya
US President Donald Trump wrote on the Truth Social network on Tuesday, August 17: "There are no negotiations or talks with the Islamic Republic, and no negotiations or talks are planned."
He added: "The naval blockade remains in full force, the Strait of Hormuz is open and active, and all naval mines have been collected or detonated."
Trump: The naval blockade on #Iran remains in place.
Trump: The naval blockade on Iran remains in full effect.
Trump: The naval blockade on #Iran remains in full effect.
TRUMP: NO IRAN TALKS, NAVAL BLOCKADE CONTINUES • • Trump says no talks with Iran are underway or scheduled. • • The naval blockade remains fully in effect, while the Strait of Hormuz is open and operating. • • Trump also says all water mines have been removed or detonated.
A U.S. Navy MH-60 Seahawk helicopter hovers over the flight deck of the USS Mason (DDG 87), which is enforcing the U.S. blockade of Iran. As of August 17, U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) had ordered 64 merchant ships to change course, rendered three merchant ships inoperable, and boarded two more merchant ships to ensure compliance with the blockade.
Donald Trump said that the Islamic Republic must refrain from acquiring nuclear weapons and that until then, the United States will continue to pressure Tehran with an economic blockade and control of the Strait of Hormuz. He emphasized that despite the Strait of Hormuz being open, the US naval blockade has been effective and has prevented the Islamic Republic from exploiting this waterway. Trump added that Washington is ready to escalate its measures if necessary and described the Islamic Republic's economic situation and military capabilities as very weak.
The United States Central Command, CENTCOM, released a photo of a U.S. Navy MH-60 Seahawk helicopter aboard the USS Mason on Monday, August 16, announcing that the ship was enforcing the U.S. "Steel Wall" blockade against Iran. CENTCOM added that as of August 16, U.S. forces had diverted 64 commercial vessels, disabled three vessels, and boarded two vessels to ensure the blockade was enforced.
U.S. Central Command: As of August 17, our forces had altered the course of 64 commercial vessels, disabled 3 vessels, and inspected 2 vessels to ensure compliance with the naval blockade against Iran.
"If the Islamic Republic attacks us, we will respond with 100 times more force," US President Donald Trump told Fox News. The US President added: "The US naval blockade continues to put new economic pressure on the Iranian regime, and the midterm elections have absolutely no impact on my thinking about the Islamic Republic."
Trump: The US naval blockade continues to exert new economic pressure on the Iranian regime.
Trump: The US naval blockade continues to exert new economic pressure on the Iranian regime.
Despite the announcement of an agreement between Iran and Oman on a shipping route map in the Strait of Hormuz, differences over the implementation of this agreement continue, and a joint statement has not yet been issued by the two countries. At the same time, the United States has emphasized the continuation of the naval blockade of Iran, and American officials have announced the imposition of new sanctions and economic pressure against the Islamic Republic next week. Reported by Marzieh Hosseini, Iran International correspondent
On Saturday, August 14, the head of state in Iran called the recent price increases and their impact on citizens' livelihoods "natural," and cited the economic blockade and US oil sanctions as the reasons for them. Masoud Pezzekian said in a meeting with the secretaries-general of political parties and activists: "Previously, imported products were imported by ship; now they travel a long way to enter the country, and the final price of the goods increases." He continued: "Our income has also decreased. We used to sell oil, but now we can't." In addition to increasing energy prices in the world, the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has put pressure on the Iranian economy and exacerbated inflation. Reports indicate that with the implementation of the naval blockade, Iran's oil exports through Kharg Island have decreased sharply. About 90 percent of Iran's oil exports are made through this island.
@VahidHeadline @VahidOnline
Donald Trump said the Islamic Republic is “failing badly” and the US may declare the Strait of Hormuz as US territory. He also announced the continuation of the naval blockade of Iranian ports and said no ship will pass through the waterway without US permission.
Soon... Hormuz is American territory. US President Donald Trump said, "Very soon I will declare the Strait of Hormuz to be American territory," adding, "We have a blockade; no ship will pass unless we want it to." #Trump #Iran #Hormuz #NewNews
Trump emphasizes that the port blockade "cannot be stopped" and declares the Strait of Hormuz "US territory."
Trump continues port blockade, claims Strait of Hormuz is "US territory"
US President Donald Trump announced on Friday that he would soon declare the Strait of Hormuz American territory, following what he described as Iran's defeat. He asserted that the United States is imposing a blockade on Iranian ports and that ships will not pass through the strait unless Washington permits them to do so.
US President Donald Trump: Very soon I will declare the Strait of Hormuz a US zone and the naval blockade we are imposing on Iran is "ironclad."
#SocialSky
#America
#Iran
Donald Trump: We have a blockade in place... No ship will pass through unless we allow it, and very soon I will declare the Strait of Hormuz a US territory.
US threatens indefinite blockade on Iran: Update
The US president announces his intention to declare the Strait of Hormuz a US zone soon, and to continue the naval blockade against Iran.
US President Donald Trump assessed the Iran agenda — After completely defeating Iran, I will soon declare the Strait of Hormuz US territory. — We are enforcing a complete blockade there; no ship can pass without our permission. — We cannot allow Iran to possess nuclear weapons.
Trump: The US military is amazing and the blockade on Iran is unstoppable.
Trump said on Friday that he would soon declare the Strait of Hormuz to be under US control, describing the naval blockade of Iran as an "impenetrable steel wall."
Trump: I will soon declare the Strait of Hormuz to be under American control... We will not allow Iran to continue what it is doing... The naval blockade is a "wall of steel"
Trump's claim: I will soon declare the Strait of Hormuz as American territory The naval blockade continues and no ship will pass through unless we allow them to.
US President Donald Trump: Very soon I will declare the Strait of Hormuz a US territory. We cannot allow Iran to continue on its current path and we will not allow it to acquire a nuclear weapon. The naval blockade we are imposing on Iran is steely. #SocialSky
Trump: I will soon announce that the Strait of Hormuz is now under American control... and we will not allow Iran to continue what it is doing... and the naval blockade is a "wall of steel" Trump: I will soon announce that the Strait of Hormuz is now under American control... and we will not allow Iran to continue what it is doing We may tolerate fuel prices, but we will not allow Iran to possess a nuclear weapon The blockade on Iran is a "wall of steel"... and we will deliver strong economic blows to Tehran From Al Arabiya
Trump: The naval blockade on Iran is a wall of steel.
Trump: The naval blockade on Iran is an impenetrable steel wall.
Trump: The naval blockade against #Iran is a wall of steel.
*TRUMP ON IRAN: BLOCKADE IS A WALL OF STEEL • • *TRUMP ON IRAN: US TO PAY A TINY LITTLE PRICE FOR GASOLINE
The US Central Command, CENTCOM, announced on the social network X that as of August 13, as part of the implementation of the naval blockade of the Islamic Republic, its forces had diverted 62 commercial vessels, disabled three vessels, and boarded two vessels to ensure compliance with the blockade. CENTCOM also released images of an MH-60RC Seahawk helicopter flying during a nighttime flight operation on board the guided-missile cruiser USS Princeton. According to the CENTCOM announcement, the Princeton is stationed in the Arabian Sea and is participating in the implementation of the naval blockade of the Islamic Republic.
Live: US military blockade of Iranian ports has redirected 62 commercial ships: CENTCOM
US military: We forced 62 ships to change course and disabled 3 ships to ensure compliance with the naval blockade against Iran.
US Central Command: Our forces have diverted 62 commercial vessels, disabled 3, and boarded 2 since the reimposition of the naval blockade on Iran.
US military: 62 commercial vessels diverted and 3 disabled since Iran blockade resumed
US Central Command: We have diverted 62 commercial vessels and disabled 3 ships since the resumption of the naval blockade on #Iran
US deploys new warship and vows indefinite Iran blockade
Reuters reported that shipping traffic in the Strait of Hormuz was almost at a standstill on Friday after two other ships were attacked and the US announced that it could extend its naval blockade of Iran indefinitely.
The U.S. will be applying economic measures “that have never been seen on Iran,” according to Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent. • • His statements come as U.S. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth reportedly said late Thursday that the U.S. military can keep a naval blockade of Iran going “indefinitely.” The Navy will rotate ships in and out “as we have, and we’ll continue to,” Hegseth told reporters. • • Media reports have said that the U.S. aircraft carrier USS George Washington was headed to replace the USS Abraham Lincoln, which has been deployed for more than 250 days in the Middle East and has been the subject of reports about poor conditions. Its deployment had been expected to end in May. • • Read more:
Trump Reposts US Treasury Secretary Scott Bisent's Interview on Truth Social About Iran Blockade ====== Trump affirms his administration's determination to intensify economic pressure on the Iranian regime and bring Iran's economic isolation to an unprecedented level. Trump's affirmations came through reposting an interview with US Treasury Secretary Scott Bisent, conducted by Newsmax, on his Truth Social account. In the interview, Bisent revealed that new measures against Iran would be announced next week, adding that Washington intends to continue a policy that includes severe economic isolation of Iran and the continuation of the blockade in the Strait of Hormuz. According to Bisent, the US blockade prevents any goods from entering or leaving Iranian ports. From Al Arabiya
US President Donald Trump, republishing an interview with US Treasury Secretary Scott Besant on Newsmax on Trut Social, emphasized his administration's plan to intensify economic pressure on the Islamic Republic and bring "Iran's economic isolation to unprecedented levels." In this interview, Besant announced the announcement of new measures against the Islamic Republic next week. He added that Washington intends to implement a policy that includes severe economic isolation of the Islamic Republic and a continued blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. According to Scott Besant, this blockade will prevent any goods from entering or leaving Iranian ports.
@VahidOOnLine
On Thursday, August 13, the US Treasury Secretary warned Tehran of further economic sanctions, threatening to subject Iran to economic isolation "like the world has never seen before." "The continued blockade of the Strait of Hormuz... will prevent anything from entering or leaving Iranian ports," Scott Besant told the conservative TV network Newsmax.
"Expect more news and announcements on this in the coming week," he added. Besant described a dual approach that includes financial pressure and a physical blockade of ports.
Trump recently said that only if Refrain from attacking Iran again until an agreement is reached to quickly reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Iran has set a list of conditions for reopening the passage that the Trump administration is unlikely to accept: an end to the war on all fronts, lifting of the US blockade of Iranian ports, an end to sanctions, the release of frozen assets, and compensation for wartime damages.
@VahidHeadline @VahidOnline
US Defense Secretary Pete Higseth says the United States could continue its naval blockade of Iran "indefinitely." Higseth made his remarks to reporters in Panama, according to the US Department of Defense.
US President Donald Trump, republishing an interview with US Treasury Secretary Scott Besant on Newsmax on Trut Social, emphasized his administration's plan to intensify economic pressure on the Islamic Republic and bring "Iran's economic isolation to unprecedented levels." In the interview, Besant announced the announcement of new measures against the Islamic Republic next week. He added that Washington intends to implement a policy that includes severe economic isolation of the Islamic Republic and a continued blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. According to Scott Besant, this blockade will prevent any goods from entering or leaving Iranian ports.
U.S. To Focus On Applying Economic Pressure On Iran As War Drags On: 'Never Been Seen'. • Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said tactics will focus on economic isolation and the continued blockade of the country's ports in the Strait of Hormuz.
The United States threatens Iran with "unprecedented economic measures," and Trump's deputy confirms that his country will continue its policy of pressure and naval blockade.
Oil rises after U.S. threatens indefinite blockade of Iran
Live: Oil prices gain after US threatens indefinite naval blockade against Iran
US Treasury Secretary: Unprecedented US sanctions on Iran are on the way Scott Bessant says Washington will announce new measures next week that will include increased financial pressure and an indefinite naval blockade; measures aimed at further isolating Iran.
The US Treasury Secretary threatens Iran with unprecedented sanctions to "isolate its economy," while the Defense Secretary confirms the continuation of the military blockade.
US Treasury Secretary's claim: Expect more news about Iran next week; we will be implementing measures that are unprecedented in the history of economic isolation of a country These measures will be a combination of economic isolation on a level the world has never seen before, as well as a naval blockade
The United States intends to impose "unprecedented" measures on Iran, said US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent. He described this as a "combination of economic isolation" and a continued "blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, which will prevent anything from entering or leaving Iranian ports." "There will be more announcements next week because we are going to impose measures unprecedented in the history of economic isolation of any country," Mr. Bessent said in an interview on the Newsmax television channel. Follow Kommersant on MAX | on Telegram
Trump's New Strategy Against Iran: Wait and See with Naval Blockade and Sanctions According to the Atlantic:
Donald Trump is gradually moving towards a "wait and see" strategy with Iran, relying more than ever on economic sanctions and a US naval blockade to bring Tehran to the negotiating table, as the attacks so far have failed to end the war. For now, the Trump administration is counting on continued economic pressure to do what military action and diplomacy have so far failed to do. @iribnews
Iran war live: US eyes indefinite Iran naval blockade
US Treasury Secretary: . We will pursue a combination of isolating the Iranian economy and maintaining the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. . We will prevent anything from entering or leaving Iranian ports.
US Treasury Secretary: "These measures will be a combination of economic isolation on a level the world has never seen before, as well as a continued blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, which will prevent anything from entering or leaving Iranian ports."
US Secretary of Defense Pete Hegsett said on Thursday that the US military could maintain a blockade of Iranian ports for as long as necessary. “The US Navy can maintain such a blockade indefinitely because we will rotate the ships as we have done and we will continue to do so,” Hegsett told reporters. At the same time, the Wall Street Journal reported that the US is sending another aircraft carrier to the Middle East amid tensions with the Islamic Republic.
@VahidOOnLine
The George Washington Fleet is sailing west through the Singapore Strait and into the Indian Ocean, raising the possibility that it could replace the Abraham Lincoln Fleet currently stationed in the Middle East.
The Ticonderoga-class battleship Robert Smalls and the Arleigh Burke-class destroyer Shoup are other members of the fleet They are.
mhmiranusa @VahidOnline
The US Secretary of War said: "The US Navy can maintain the blockade of Iranian ports indefinitely because, as has been done so far, we will move ships in rotation and we will continue to do so."
U.S. DEFENSE SECRETARY HEGSETH ON IRAN: U.S. CAN HOLD BLOCKADE AS LONG AS NEEDED
"We have complete control of Hormuz"... Trump: Iran can't do anything about our "steel" blockade
As the conflict in the Strait of Hormuz and the naval blockade of Iranian ports continue, Donald Trump said that Washington controls the naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz "like a steel wall." This is while the Islamic Republic emphasizes control of the Strait of Hormuz. More details with Niloufar Mansouri, Iran International correspondent
Trump says he will continue to control the Strait of Hormuz, and criticizes Iran for being powerless against a US blockade.
Live: US says it has redirected 59 vessels since reinstating Iran blockade
The United States Central Command, CENTCOM, announced on Wednesday, August 11, by releasing a video of an F/A-18 fighter jet taking off from the aircraft carrier USS George H. W. Bush on the X-Channel, stating that the ship was moving in the waters of the region and supporting the implementation of the US "Steel Wall" blockade against Iran. CENTCOM added that as of August 11, US forces had diverted 59 commercial vessels, disabled three vessels, and boarded two vessels to fully implement the blockade.
CENTCOM announced that US forces had diverted 59 commercial vessels, disabled three, and boarded two as of Wednesday to ensure full compliance with the blockade of Iranian ports.
Donald Trump: The US naval blockade on Iran is a wall of steel, and Tehran no longer has the ability to confront it.
@waad_hachem
President Trump says he will "continue to maintain" the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, and harshly criticizes Iran for being "all talk and no action."
Trump calls Iran ‘all talk and no action,’ touts ‘Wall of Steel’ US Navy blockade as more oil flows out of Strait of Hormuz
On Wednesday, August 11, US President Donald Trump announced in a message on the social network Truth Social that the United States has “total control” of the Strait of Hormuz, adding: “I think we will maintain it.” Trump described the US naval blockade as a “steel wall” and said Iran cannot take action against it. He also said that Iran has no navy or air force, the Revolutionary Guard Corps has been severely weakened, and the status of the Islamic Republic’s leadership is “uncertain at best.” The US President also referred to Iran’s economic situation, saying that the country is facing “300 percent inflation,” adding: “Iran is all talk and no action; it is no longer the bully of the Middle East.” Trump ended his message with the English translation “Alhamdulillah.”
@VahidOOnLine @VahidOnline
On Wednesday, August 11, US President Donald Trump wrote on the Truth Social network that the US has “total control” of the Strait of Hormuz, adding: “I think we will maintain it.”
Trump called the US naval blockade a “steel wall” and wrote that the Iranian government can do nothing about it. He also wrote that the Islamic Republic no longer has a navy or air force, the Revolutionary Guard Corps is “disintegrated,” and the status of the government’s leadership is uncertain.
Referring to Iran’s economic situation, Trump added: “The Islamic Republic only talks and does nothing and is no longer the bully of the Middle East.”
Trump: Iran has no way to counter our naval blockade, which everyone describes as a wall of steel.
Trump wrote on Truth Social that the United States has complete control of the Strait of Hormuz and I think we will maintain it. He added: "Everyone calls our naval blockade a wall of steel and Iran can do nothing about it."
Trump: Everyone calls our naval blockade the "steel wall," and there's nothing Iran can do about it.
Trump: Iran can do nothing about our "steel" blockade.
Trump: Our naval blockade is described by everyone as a “wall of steel,” and there’s nothing Iran can do about it.
Trump: The United States has complete control of the Strait of Hormuz. I think we will keep it! Our naval blockade is being called the “Steel Wall” by everyone, and there is nothing Iran can do about it. They have no navy, no air force, their remaining soldiers are not getting paid, the Revolutionary Guards (IRGC) have been badly beaten and are on the run, and their “leadership” is unstable, to say the least! They have no money — their country is “liquidated.” All they have is fake news and 300% inflation, and it’s only getting worse! Iran is all talk and no action — it is no longer the bully of the Middle East.
Iran's export lifeline runs dry as US defends blockade
Earlier today (August 11), U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) disabled the steering gear of the Panamanian-flagged cargo ship "Vela Nova." The ship was attempting to transit the Gulf of Oman towards an Iranian port, violating the U.S. blockade against Iran. After the ship's civilian crew ignored repeated warnings from U.S. forces, a U.S. Navy MH-60 helicopter fired two Hellfire missiles into the ship's engine room. The ship has since ceased its attempt to deviate from the U.S. blockade towards Iran, which remains fully effective. As of August 11, CENTCOM had ordered 55 merchant ships attempting to break the blockade to change course, disabled three vessels that defied the blockade, and boarded and inspected two other ships. U.S. forces deployed in the Middle East remain on high alert, possess lethal strike capabilities, and are ready to act at any time.
A Panamanian-flagged cargo ship attempted to break through an Iranian port blockade but was fired upon by the US military.
US fires on ship it says violated Iran blockade
US Central Command: We redirected 55 commercial vessels attempting to violate the blockade, targeted 3 non-compliant vessels, and seized 2 vessels as of August 11. #SocialSky
Iran-US War: The US military says it fired on a ship that violated its blockade of Iranian ports
★ US military attacks cargo ship as Iran blockades port
US Central Command also announced that as of August 10, it had diverted 55 commercial ships attempting to bypass the blockade, disabled three ships that did not follow orders, and boarded two ships.
US Central Command: We redirected 55 commercial vessels that were attempting to violate the blockade, targeted 3 non-compliant vessels, and seized 2 vessels as of August 11.
++ 'Naval blockade forced, US fires at vessel near Iran ++
US forces fire on ship attempting to break Iran blockade
US forces fire on ship attempting to break Iran blockade
A US helicopter fired a missile at a ship that was trying to violate the blockade of Iran, the Wall Street Journal reported. According to the report, the ship, sailing under the Panamanian flag, did not heed warnings from the US military enforcing the blockade of Iranian ports. There were no casualties.
WSJ: U.S. forces fired on a Panama-flagged ship that attempted to run the American blockade of Iranian ports early Tuesday, a U.S. official said. A U.S. military helicopter fired at the rudder of the ship after its crew ignored warnings from American personnel working to enforce the naval blockade of Iran's ports, the official said.
Speaking to reporters at the White House on Monday, Donald Trump emphasized the US Navy's dominance of the Strait of Hormuz, saying: "The only force that currently dominates the Strait of Hormuz is the US Navy. We have established a blockade that is infallible and like a steel wall." The US President stated that allowing ships to pass is based on Washington's decision, adding: "We do not allow ships to enter Iran and they are not allowed to enter the strait to go to Iran, but the path is open for others." He also pointed to the mine clearance in this strategic waterway and stated: "We have demined the strait and we have 100 percent control of it. They may cause problems, but they are bankrupt and have no money." @VahidOOnLine @VahidOnline
US President Donald Trump said on Monday the US blockade of Iranian ports has been flawless, likening it to a “steel wall” around the country.
Trump said that the only force that currently has control of the Strait of Hormuz is the US Navy. He added: "The blockade of Iran is like a steel wall. So the strait is actually open now. We are not allowing ships to go to Iran, but the strait is open to others."
Trump: We are imposing an ironclad blockade on Iran and only allowing passage for ships not headed there.
Trump said that the US blockade of Iranian ports was flawless and like a steel wall.
Trump: Increase economic pressure on Iran, will not resume military action for now, and prefers to maintain a maritime blockade strategy.
At the same time as the Strait of Hormuz crisis and the sharp decline in ship traffic through this waterway, the US Central Command, CENTCOM, said that it will continue the naval blockade of Iranian ports with more than 20 warships. More details in an interview with Maryam Rahmati, Iran International correspondent
The Financial Times reported that oil export activity on Kharg Island has been halted under the US naval blockade, with the oil terminal facing one of the longest interruptions since the Islamic Republic began its six-month war with the US and Israel. The Washington-based group, the Coalition Against a Nuclear Iran, which monitors the Islamic Republic's oil shipments, said it had not seen any tanker carrying Iranian crude successfully exiting the Persian Gulf since July 11. Despite the halt in export activity on Kharg Island, the Islamic Republic continues to earn money from shipments that left the Persian Gulf earlier during the ceasefire and are now reaching buyers in Asia. According to the Coalition Against a Nuclear Iran report, 26 tankers flying the Islamic Republic's flag have reached waters near Malaysia; Where Iranian crude oil is usually transferred to other ships before being delivered to Chinese refineries.
Live: US says it has redirected 51 vessels since reinstating Iran blockade
US Central Command: We have diverted 51 commercial vessels and disabled two since resuming the naval blockade on #Iran
Where does the news lean?
30YES223NO9neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 93%.
Past moves on this market
Material odds moves (≥8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.
How did this market resolve?
On July 13, 2026, Trump announced the United States would reinstate its naval blockade of Iran, targeting Iranian ships and customers.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States government, or an authorized representative of the United States government, publicly and officially announces the end, termination, lifting, or suspension of the United States’ naval blockade on Iranian ships and ships of Iranian customers, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement qualifies if it communicates that the United States will generally cease blocking vessel traffic for Iranian ships and customers, including an announcement that the blockade will not take effect at all, even if some restrictions remain (for example, an imposition of fees). An announcement does not qualify if it reflects only a limited or partial change that stops short of a general end or suspension of the blockade, for example, an exemption for a specific vessel, cargo, or port.
A qualifying announcement must be a declarative statement of the United States government’s present termination or suspension of the blockade, previously-unannounced prior termination or suspension of the blockade, or definitive decision to terminate or suspend the blockade.
A qualifying announcement must clearly and unambiguously identify the end or suspension of the blockade. Statements that merely allude to, reference, or describe an end to the blockade, without clearly communicating it, do not qualify. The announcement need not use specific terminology or reference the end of a blockade by name; an announcement of a resumption of prior obligations, the maintenance of a status quo, or a return to a previously agreed baseline qualifies, provided the substantive policy of ending or suspending the blockade is clearly and unambiguously communicated.
A qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual acting in an official capacity. Statements made incidentally or informally in a context not intended for official communication do not qualify.
The following do not qualify:
Anonymous, unattributed, or leaked statements not confirmed as official;
Statements by persons not authorized to speak for the United States government;
Third-party speculation, analysis, or predictions that the United States government will announce or implement an end to the blockade;
Satirical, fabricated, hacked, or impersonated communications; and
Statements that describe a prospective, contingent, probable, or conditional end to the blockade rather than announcing a present and decided position.
Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to “Yes” regardless of whether it is later reversed, or whether the blockade actually ends in practice.
Resolution will be based on official information from the United States government, including the President, the Department of Defense, the Department of State, and United States Central Command (CENTCOM), or the official representatives of the United States government.
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