US announces end of Iranian blockadeAugust 15

ResolvedOutcome: NoVol$3.3MResolvedas of

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This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

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What moved the odds?

50 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .

NOIranian Journalist92%match99¢+1%
US President Donald Trump, republishing an interview with US Treasury Secretary Scott Besant on Newsmax on Trut Social, emphasized his administration's plan to intensify economic pressure on the Islamic Republic and bring "Iran's economic isolation to unprecedented levels." In this interview, Besant announced the announcement of new measures against the Islamic Republic next week. He added that Washington intends to implement a policy that includes severe economic isolation of the Islamic Republic and a continued blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. According to Scott Besant, this blockade will prevent any goods from entering or leaving Iranian ports. @VahidOOnLine On Thursday, August 13, the US Treasury Secretary warned Tehran of further economic sanctions, threatening to subject Iran to economic isolation "like the world has never seen before." "The continued blockade of the Strait of Hormuz... will prevent anything from entering or leaving Iranian ports," Scott Besant told the conservative TV network Newsmax. "Expect more news and announcements on this in the coming week," he added. Besant described a dual approach that includes financial pressure and a physical blockade of ports. Trump recently said that only if Refrain from attacking Iran again until an agreement is reached to quickly reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Iran has set a list of conditions for reopening the passage that the Trump administration is unlikely to accept: an end to the war on all fronts, lifting of the US blockade of Iranian ports, an end to sanctions, the release of frozen assets, and compensation for wartime damages. @VahidHeadline @VahidOnline
NOIranian Journalist95%match92¢+9%
On Wednesday, August 11, US President Donald Trump announced in a message on the social network Truth Social that the United States has “total control” of the Strait of Hormuz, adding: “I think we will maintain it.” Trump described the US naval blockade as a “steel wall” and said Iran cannot take action against it. He also said that Iran has no navy or air force, the Revolutionary Guard Corps has been severely weakened, and the status of the Islamic Republic’s leadership is “uncertain at best.” The US President also referred to Iran’s economic situation, saying that the country is facing “300 percent inflation,” adding: “Iran is all talk and no action; it is no longer the bully of the Middle East.” Trump ended his message with the English translation “Alhamdulillah.” @VahidOOnLine @VahidOnline
NOiranintl94%match91¢+10%
On Wednesday, August 11, US President Donald Trump wrote on the Truth Social network that the US has “total control” of the Strait of Hormuz, adding: “I think we will maintain it.” Trump called the US naval blockade a “steel wall” and wrote that the Iranian government can do nothing about it. He also wrote that the Islamic Republic no longer has a navy or air force, the Revolutionary Guard Corps is “disintegrated,” and the status of the government’s leadership is uncertain. Referring to Iran’s economic situation, Trump added: “The Islamic Republic only talks and does nothing and is no longer the bully of the Middle East.”
NOAl Arabiya92%match91¢+10%
Trump: Iran can do nothing about our "steel" blockade.
NOansa.it91%match83¢+20%
++ 'Naval blockade forced, US fires at vessel near Iran ++
NOlivesquawk93%match88¢+14%
US President Donald Trump said on Monday the US blockade of Iranian ports has been flawless, likening it to a “steel wall” around the country.
NOaljazeera.com95%match38¢+163%
Live: US says it has redirected 51 vessels since reinstating Iran blockade
NOAl Jazeera92%match43¢+133%
US Central Command: We have diverted 51 commercial vessels and disabled two since resuming the naval blockade on #Iran
NOUS Mission to China96%match44¢+127%
U.S. Marine Corps aviation and personnel deployed aboard the USS Boxer (LHD 4) are supporting the U.S. blockade of Iran. As of August 6, the U.S. military had ordered 49 merchant ships to change course, rendered two merchant ships immobile, and boarded and inspected the other two.
NOiranintl93%match43¢+133%
The US Central Command, CENTCOM, announced that US Marine Corps equipment and aviation forces stationed on the USS Boxer are supporting the implementation of the US naval blockade against the Islamic Republic. CENTCOM added that as of August 6, it had diverted 49 commercial vessels, disabled two vessels, and inspected two vessels.
NOiranintlbrk91%match43¢+133%
CENTCOM announced that since the implementation of the naval blockade of Iran, 49 commercial vessels have been forced to change course, two vessels have been disabled, and two vessels have been inspected by American forces.
NOUS Mission to China97%match35¢+186%
The United States continues its blockade of Iran, with a U.S. Air Force F-16 fighter jet conducting in-flight refueling while patrolling waters in the Middle East. As of August 5, U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) had ordered 48 merchant ships to divert, rendered two merchant ships immobile, and boarded and inspected the other two.
NOalarabiya92%match33¢+203%
Live from Al Arabiya | Iran speaks of a new, temporary route through the Strait of Hormuz... and the US military confirms the continuation of the blockade
NOiranintl97%match30¢+233%
The US Central Command (CENTCOM) announced on Wednesday on the social network X that as part of the naval blockade of Iranian ports until August 5, 48 commercial ships in the Strait of Hormuz were forced to change course, two vessels were disabled, and two vessels were inspected. CENTCOM emphasized that the US will continue the naval blockade of Iran.
NOaljazeera.com94%match30¢+233%
Live: US military says redirected total of 48 vessels as part of ‘blockade against Iran’
NOiranintl97%match31¢+223%
The US Central Command (CENTCOM) announced on the social network X on Wednesday that as of August 5, 48 commercial vessels had changed their routes in the Strait of Hormuz, two vessels were disabled and two vessels were inspected. CENTCOM emphasized that the US will continue its naval blockade of Iran.
NOiranintlbrk98%match29¢+245%
CENTCOM announced that the United States will continue to enforce the naval blockade of Iran, and as of August 5, 48 commercial vessels have changed their routes, two vessels have been disabled, and two vessels have been inspected.
NOAsharq93%match29¢+245%
US military: We've diverted 46 ships since reimposing our blockade on Iran.
NOUS Mission to China95%match31¢+223%
A U.S. Navy sailor is on duty at the combat intelligence center aboard the amphibious assault ship USS Boxer (LHD 4), which was sailing in regional waters supporting the U.S. blockade of Iran. As of August 4, the U.S. military had ordered 45 merchant ships to change course, rendered two merchant ships immobile, and boarded and inspected the other two to ensure compliance with blockade regulations.
NOIran Semi-Official ILNA98%match24¢+317%
US military claims; We diverted the routes of 45 ships as part of the Iran blockade The US military claimed that since July 14, when the United States resumed its naval blockade of Iran, it has diverted the routes of 45 commercial ships. The US Central Command (CENTCOM) wrote in a message on the X social network: As of August 4, US forces have diverted the routes of 45 commercial ships, disabled two ships, and inspected two others to ensure compliance with requirements. CENTCOM had previously announced that more than 20 US military vessels are operating in the Middle East to enforce the blockade against Iran. @ilnair
NOaljazeera.com94%match37¢+170%
Live: US military says it has redirected total of 45 vessels to enforce ‘blockade against Iran’
NOiranintl93%match32¢+213%
The US Central Command (CENTCOM) announced on Tuesday that the amphibious assault ship USS Boxer is supporting the naval blockade of Iranian ports in the region. CENTCOM added that since the blockade began, 45 commercial vessels have been diverted, two have been disabled and two have been inspected.
NOUS Central Command92%match35¢+186%
A U.S. Sailor stands watch in the combat information center aboard USS Boxer (LHD 4) as the amphibious assault ship sails in regional waters while supporting the U.S. blockade against Iran. As of Aug. 4, U.S. forces have redirected 45 commercial vessels, disabled 2 and boarded 2 to ensure compliance.
NOlivesquawk92%match35¢+186%
A U.S. Sailor stands watch in the combat information center aboard USS Boxer (LHD 4) as the amphibious assault ship sails in regional waters while supporting the U.S. blockade against Iran. As of Aug. 04, U.S. forces have redirected 45 commercial vessels, disabled 2 and boarded 2 to ensure compliance.
NOUS Mission to China97%match54¢+85%
The U.S. military continues to strictly enforce its blockade of Iran. As of August 3, U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) had ordered 44 merchant ships to change course, rendered two merchant ships inoperable, and conducted boarding inspections on the other two ships.
YESUkrainian Media93%match46¢-100%
Trump says Hormuz will be opened today and for free The US and Iran are moving quickly in negotiations and are discussing the full restoration of normal shipping in the Strait of Hormuz as early as Tuesday, August 4, the US president said. Trump assured that passage through the strait will be free for all vessels. "I will not allow them to charge any fee. They will not charge any fee, we are not discussing any fee," Trump said. Read only the gist from RBC-Ukraine on Google.
NOalhadath92%match59¢+69%
US President Donald Trump: We have complete control over the Strait of Hormuz... and the blockade continues.
NOiranintl93%match62¢+61%
CENTCOM, the US Central Command, stressed that "US forces continue to strictly enforce the US blockade of Iran", announcing that 44 commercial vessels have been forced to change course since the beginning of the naval blockade of the coasts and ports in southern Iran. CENTCOM also announced that two vessels have been disabled and two others have been inspected.
NODepartment of War/Pentagon94%match62¢+61%
U.S. forces continue to strictly enforce the U.S. blockade against Iran. As of Aug. 3, CENTCOM has redirected 44 commercial vessels, disabled 2, and boarded 2.
The US military says it will continue its naval blockade of Iran and has altered the routes of 44 merchant ships.
NOAl Jazeera92%match62¢+61%
US Central Command: We continue to strictly enforce the naval blockade on #Iran
NOSky News Arabia92%match62¢+61%
US Central Command: We are continuing the naval blockade against Iran rigorously.
NOAsharq91%match62¢+61%
US Central Command: We diverted 44 commercial vessels and disabled and inspected 4 others as part of the naval blockade against Iran.
NOlivesquawk94%match62¢+61%
U.S. forces continue to strictly enforce the U.S. blockade against Iran. As of Aug. 3, CENTCOM has redirected 44 commercial vessels, disabled 2, and boarded 2.
NOfranceinfo.fr92%match61¢+64%
Live: #MIDDLE_EAST Donald Trump warns in a message on his Truth Social network that the naval blockade against Iran will only be lifted in the event of an "agreement" or "total surrender"...
NOafp94%match63¢+59%
President Donald Trump lashed out Monday after Iran denied it was in negotiations with the United States, declaring in an angry social media post that a US military blockade will continue until there is a "Deal, or Total surrender."
NOskynewsarabia91%match63¢+59%
Trump: The Iranian leadership is incredibly duplicitous. * Nothing will reach Iran unless a deal is reached or they surrender completely. * Whether Iran admits it or not, we are in fact talking about a solution to a problem they have created for decades. * The Strait of Hormuz is under the complete control and blockade of the US Navy. #SocialSky #America #Iran
NOIran Semi-Official ILNA92%match59¢+69%
The US terrorist army announced the continuation of attacks on ships with the aim of blocking Iran The US Central Command has claimed: Since the resumption of the blockade of Iranian ports, we have diverted 35 ships and disabled two ships. @ilnair
NOAl Jazeera92%match59¢+69%
US Central Command: We diverted 35 ships and disabled two since the resumption of the blockade on Iranian ports.
YESalmayadeenlive92%match33¢-100%
United States of America: Trump: The deal includes the immediate and complete opening of the Strait of Hormuz and an end to the "Iranian nuclear threat".
YESAl Jazeera Mubasher91%match30¢-100%
Trump: The agreed-upon terms of the deal include the immediate and complete opening of the Strait of Hormuz and an end to the Iranian nuclear threat.
NOiranintl96%match81¢+23%
The US Central Command (CENTCOM) announced on the social network X that the US military had diverted 30 commercial vessels, disabled two vessels, and deployed troops on board two others as of Friday, August 30, to ensure the full implementation of the blockade. CENTCOM added that the US military had also allowed nearly 30 ships to pass through the Islamic Republic's naval blockade to deliver humanitarian aid. CENTCOM also posted a picture of a US Navy MH-60RC Seahawk helicopter on board the destroyer Michael Murphy, writing on X that the destroyer was supporting the US naval blockade against the Islamic Republic.
NOalarabiya92%match70¢+43%
US military: We redirected 22 commercial vessels as part of the blockade against Iran
NOiranintl95%match77¢+30%
The US Central Command, CENTCOM, announced on Thursday on the social network X that the P-8 Poseidon maritime patrol aircraft, a specialized reconnaissance equipment of the US Navy, is monitoring the implementation of the naval blockade against the Islamic Republic. CENTCOM added that as of August 29, 24 commercial ships had been forced to change course, two vessels were disabled, and two vessels were inspected to ensure the full implementation of the blockade.
NOAl Hadath92%match76¢+32%
US military: We redirected 22 commercial vessels as part of the blockade against Iran
NONews95%match65¢+54%
Trump said the Strait of Hormuz is under US control, and the naval blockade against Iran remains in force.
NOAsharq92%match61¢+64%
US Central Command: We diverted 12 ships and disabled two since the resumption of the blockade on Iran.
NOiranintl92%match70¢+43%
US Secretary of Defense Pete Hegsett told the Senate hearing that the naval blockade of the Islamic Republic has been re-established and is “virtually impenetrable.” He added that a large part of the US attacks are destroying the Iranian government’s ability to monitor and be aware of developments in the Strait of Hormuz. Hegsett also said that the Pentagon needs more funding to respond to immediate threats and that without new resources, some military training must be curtailed immediately. He said the cost of the war with the Islamic Republic has reached $37.5 billion so far.
NON13/GLZ Reporters92%match70¢+43%
Trump: "We're not done with Iran yet. Any nuclear site the Iranians consider restarting - we will attack again. They will need 20 or 25 years to rebuild the damage we caused them. If Iran continues to attack commercial ships - we will attack them with 10 times greater force. The blockade of the Strait of Hormuz continues - no one is crossing it."
NOnews.tv-asahi.co.jp98%match68¢+47%
President Trump reinstates naval blockade; says agreement is still possible despite memorandum of understanding "collapses".

Where does the news lean?

38YES418NO20neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 94%.

Past moves on this market

Material odds moves (8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.

How did this market resolve?

On July 13, 2026, Trump announced the United States would reinstate its naval blockade of Iran, targeting Iranian ships and customers. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States government, or an authorized representative of the United States government, publicly and officially announces the end, termination, lifting, or suspension of the United States’ naval blockade on Iranian ships and ships of Iranian customers, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement qualifies if it communicates that the United States will generally cease blocking vessel traffic for Iranian ships and customers, including an announcement that the blockade will not take effect at all, even if some restrictions remain (for example, an imposition of fees). An announcement does not qualify if it reflects only a limited or partial change that stops short of a general end or suspension of the blockade, for example, an exemption for a specific vessel, cargo, or port. A qualifying announcement must be a declarative statement of the United States government’s present termination or suspension of the blockade, previously-unannounced prior termination or suspension of the blockade, or definitive decision to terminate or suspend the blockade. A qualifying announcement must clearly and unambiguously identify the end or suspension of the blockade. Statements that merely allude to, reference, or describe an end to the blockade, without clearly communicating it, do not qualify. The announcement need not use specific terminology or reference the end of a blockade by name; an announcement of a resumption of prior obligations, the maintenance of a status quo, or a return to a previously agreed baseline qualifies, provided the substantive policy of ending or suspending the blockade is clearly and unambiguously communicated. A qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual acting in an official capacity. Statements made incidentally or informally in a context not intended for official communication do not qualify. The following do not qualify: Anonymous, unattributed, or leaked statements not confirmed as official; Statements by persons not authorized to speak for the United States government; Third-party speculation, analysis, or predictions that the United States government will announce or implement an end to the blockade; Satirical, fabricated, hacked, or impersonated communications; and Statements that describe a prospective, contingent, probable, or conditional end to the blockade rather than announcing a present and decided position. Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to “Yes” regardless of whether it is later reversed, or whether the blockade actually ends in practice. Resolution will be based on official information from the United States government, including the President, the Department of Defense, the Department of State, and United States Central Command (CENTCOM), or the official representatives of the United States government.

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