What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?<$6,000
Open$21Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 10% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES10¢
NO90¢
as of
What moved the odds?
4 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
The S&P 500 has closed the day at new ALL TIME HIGHS 26 times so far in 2026
Morgan Stanley said today it now expects the S&P 500 to end 2026 At 8,000 up from its previous year end forecast of 7,800
NOunusual_whales99%match69¢+30%
S&P500 to hit 8,000 in 2026, per Capital Economics
NODB News98%match60¢+50%
*S&P 500, NASDAQ CLOSE UP 0.6%
Where does the news lean?
0YES5NO2neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 97%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
finance.yahoo.com
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