What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?>$8,000
Open$6Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 40% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES40¢
NO60¢
as of
What moved the odds?
9 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
JPMorgan raises its S&P 500 target to 8,000 points The reason: Billions of dollars spent on artificial intelligence are starting to translate into real revenue The most dangerous shift on Wall Street in 2026: The market has moved from pricing promises to pricing earnings #Arabic_Business
There's now a 77% chance the S&P 500 trades above 8,000 this year.
YARDENI LIFTS S&P 500 TARGET TO 8,400 • • Ed Yardeni raised his S&P 500 target to 8,400 from 8,250, citing “fabulous earnings momentum.” • • He now expects 2026 S&P 500 earnings of $375, up from $330, as companies broadly beat forecasts. • • Yardeni sees the earnings-driven rally continuing and maintains his 10,000 target for 2029. • • He puts recession and bear-market risk at just 20%, viewing any major pullback as a buying opportunity.
JPMorgan raises its S&P 500 target to 8,000 points The reason: Billions of dollars spent on artificial intelligence are starting to translate into real revenue The most dangerous shift on Wall Street in 2026: The market has moved from pricing promises to pricing earnings #Arabic_Business
Traders on Kalshi now think it's likely that the S&P 500 will hit 8,000 in 2026
UBS just said it now expects the S&P 500 to end 2026 trading at 8,100 • • 8,100 is roughly 8.8% higher than current level
INSIGHT: Morgan Stanley now sees the S&P 500 ending 2026 at 8,000 up from 7,800.
S&P 500 SET TO TOP 8,000, SAYS YARDENI AS RALLY ACCELERATES • • WALL STREET VETERAN ED YARDENI EXPECTS THE S&P 500 TO SURPASS 8,000 BY END-2026, RAISING HIS TARGET TO 8,250 AFTER STRONG EARNINGS AND A SHARP MARKET RALLY. • • HE LIFTED PROFIT FORECASTS, SAYING FASTER-THAN-EXPECTED EARNINGS UPGRADES ARE DRIVING AN “EARNINGS-LED MELT-UP.” YARDENI ALSO MAINTAINED A LONG-TERM BULLISH OUTLOOK, TARGETING 10,000 BY 2029. • • OTHER STRATEGISTS HAVE ALSO RAISED FORECASTS, CITING TECH STRENGTH AND AI ADOPTION, THOUGH THEY WARN THE RALLY IS NARROW AND SENTIMENT FRAGILE. • • SOME ANALYSTS SEE NEAR-TERM OVERHEATING, WITH TECHNICAL INDICATORS FLASHING OVERBOUGHT SIGNALS, SUGGESTING A POSSIBLE PULLBACK BEFORE FURTHER GAINS. • • DESPITE GEOPOLITICAL RISKS IN THE MIDDLE EAST, YARDENI REMAINS CONFIDENT THE BULL MARKET TREND WILL CONTINUE. ...
S&P 500 SET TO TOP 8,000, SAYS YARDENI AS RALLY ACCELERATES • • Wall Street veteran Ed Yardeni expects the S&P 500 to surpass 8,000 by end-2026, raising his target to 8,250 after strong earnings and a sharp market rally. • • He lifted profit forecasts, saying faster-than-expected earnings upgrades are driving an “earnings-led melt-up.” Yardeni also maintained a long-term bullish outlook, targeting 10,000 by 2029. • • Other strategists have also raised forecasts, citing tech strength and AI adoption, though they warn the rally is narrow and sentiment fragile. • • Some analysts see near-term overheating, with technical indicators flashing overbought signals, suggesting a possible pullback before further gains. • • Despite geopolitical risks in the Middle East, Yardeni remains confident the bull market trend will continue.
Where does the news lean?
23YES6NO7neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 96%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
finance.yahoo.com
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