What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?$7,500-$8,000
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Odds now
The market prices a 21% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES21¢
NO80¢
as of
What moved the odds?
13 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
A Reuters survey predicts the S&P 500 will end 2026 at 7,900 points, up from a previous forecast of 7,620. #ArabicBusiness
S&P 500 SEEN HITTING 7,900 • • Wall Street expects the S&P 500 to end 2026 at 7,900, about 3% above current levels, according to a Reuters poll. • • Strong corporate earnings, booming AI investment and hopes for easing US-Iran tensions are supporting optimism. • <b... S&P 500 SEEN HITTING 7,900 • • Wall Street expects the S&P 500 to end 2026 at 7,900, about 3% above current levels, according to a Reuters poll. • • Strong corporate earnings, booming AI investment and hopes for easing US-Iran tensions are supporting optimism. • • However, strategists warn that high valuations, rising tech-sector leverage, Fed policy and US midterm elections could create volatility.
REUTERS POLL-S&P 500 TO END 2026 AT 7,900 (7,620 IN MAY POLL) • • REUTERS POLL-DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL AVERAGE TO END 2026 AT 54,500 (52,500 IN MAY POLL)
YESReuters97%match22¢-5%
Reuters Poll-S&P 500 to End 2026 at 7,900 (7,620 in May Poll)
S&P 500 Earnings Surge 31% as Wall Street Raises 2026 Year-End Target to 7,894. • The S&P 500 earnings season has emerged as one of the strongest corporate profit periods in years, giving Wall Street another re
The S&P 500 closed at a new record on Thursday, buoyed by cooler-than-expected inflation data and falling oil prices. • • The broad market index added 0.65% and surpassed 7,800 for the first time ever, while the Nasdaq Composite gained 0.81%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average inched up 0.13%. •
Traders on the Kalshi forecasting platform believe the S&P 500 is likely to reach 8,000 points in 2026. The S&P 500 has seen recent gains, breaking through the 7,700-point barrier. #Arabic_Business
KALSHI TRADERS SEE S&P 500 HITTING 8,000 • • Kalshi traders now assign a 66.9% probability that the S&P 500 reaches 8,000 in 2026, after the index rallied more than 5% in four sessions. • • The S&P is now just 3.6% below the milestone. • • The rebound has been fueled by renewed AI optimism, strong Q2 earnings, and easing Middle East tensions. • • Kalshi also prices a roughly 33% chance the S&P climbs above 8,200 this year. •
S&P 500 BREAKS OUT, RECORD HIGH IN SIGHT • • The S&P 500 has regained momentum, closing just 0.12% below its record high after a nearly 4% three-day rally. • • Mega-cap stocks are leading the advance, with the Magnificent Seven posting their strongest three-day gain since May 2025. • • Technically, the index has broken above a multi-month consolidation pattern, signaling buyers are back in control. • • A new record could open the door toward the 7,900–8,000 range, while support sits near 7,560.
INSIGHT: Morgan Stanley now sees the S&P 500 ending 2026 at 8,000 up from 7,800.
Morgan Stanley said today it now expects the S&P 500 to end 2026 At 8,000 up from its previous year end forecast of 7,800
JPMorgan just hiked its S&P 500 target for end-2026 to 7,600 from 7,200. • • AI remains the key growth engine. • • In the bull scenario: if the US and Iran strike a deal, the index could climb all the way to 8,000 by year-end.
S&P 500 is expected to finish 2026 at 7,500, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average is seen ending the year at 52,000
Where does the news lean?
19YES10NO3neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 97%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
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