SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?>$1.8T
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$2.1Mas of
Odds now
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
29 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
BlackRock eyes up to $10B in SpaceX IPO as Musk’s rocket empire targets $1.75 trillion valuation
SpaceX's market capitalization reaches "M7 level" with an IPO in June, potentially reaching 280 trillion yen.
SpaceX is preparing for a potential stock market debut that could value the company at over $1.75 trillion, potentially marking the largest IPO in history. • • More Here →
NOBenzinga98%match42¢-100%
[Replying to @Benzinga] > Elon Musk moved closer to potentially becoming the world’s first trillionaire after merging SpaceX with his artificial intelligence firm xAI. The deal values the combined company at $1.25 trillion and has pushed Musk’s estimated net worth to roughly $845 billion. The merger…
YESBenzinga98%match37¢+170%
Beyond Rockefeller: Polymarket Traders Bet SpaceX IPO Will Make Elon Musk The Richest Human In History And First Trillionaire.
NOBenzinga98%match69¢-100%
Elon Musk's $1.25 Trillion SpaceX-xAI Merger Reportedly Designed To Protect IPO Timeline While Minimizing Financial Risk: Here's How
NOBenzinga98%match69¢-100%
Elon Musk reportedly designed SpaceX’s acquisition of xAI to protect its IPO plans while limiting financial and legal risk. According to Reuters, the deal values the combined operation at about $1.25 trillion and is structured to keep SpaceX’s public market timeline intact.…
NOBenzinga99%match68¢-100%
Elon Musk's SpaceX To Rival Market Caps Of Amazon, Meta In Historic IPO.
NOBenzinga98%match67¢-100%
[Replying to @DimaZeniuk] @DimaZeniuk > SpaceX is now valued at $1.25 trillion
NOBenzinga99%match67¢-100%
[Replying to @Benzinga] Speculation around a SpaceX IPO is intensifying after Elon Musk merged SpaceX with xAI in a deal valued near $1.25 trillion. The transaction has fueled expectations that SpaceX could go public as early as June, potentially reshaping the global equity landscape. Prediction market… >
NOPolymarket99%match72¢-100%
[Replying to @WatcherGuru] @WatcherGuru 34% chance SpaceX IPO closes above $2 Trillion. > JUST IN: Elon Musk's SpaceX and xAI valued at $1.25 trillion following merger.
YESPolymarket99%match28¢+257%
JUST IN: SpaceX now owns xAI which now owns 𝕏 — meaning 𝕏 is projected to IPO again this year. 76% chance.
YESunusual_whales99%match28¢+257%
BREAKING: SpaceX has acquired xAI
NOStocktwits99%match72¢-100%
SpaceX reportedly confirms xAI merger valued at $1.25 trillion
YESunusual_whales98%match28¢+257%
BREAKING: Elon Musk plans to merge SpaceX with xAI, per Bloomberg, with SpaceX, xAI valued at $1.25 trillion.
NOFinancialJuice98%match72¢-100%
SpaceX and Xai are valued at $1.25 trillion - Company Memo.
NO*Walter Bloomberg98%match72¢-100%
MUSK PLANS SPACE-AI MEGA MERGER Elon Musk plans to merge SpaceX with xAI, according to sources. The move supports his ambitions in AI and space. The decision was shared internally. SpaceX is also preparing an IPO that could raise up to $50 billion and value the company at $1.5…
YESWatcher.Guru99%match28¢+257%
BREAKING: Elon Musk's SpaceX to merge with xAI, Bloomberg reports.
YESunusual_whales99%match27¢+270%
Polymarket expects SpaceX to IPO this year with a marketcap in the trillions. [Quoting @PolymarketMoney]
> SPACEX MARKET CAP PROJECTED TO HIT $1,400,000,000,000.00 How high can it go?
NOStocktwits99%match74¢-100%
SpaceX market cap to the moon @PolymarketMoney [Quoting @PolymarketMoney]
> SPACEX MARKET CAP PROJECTED TO HIT $1,400,000,000,000.00 How high can it go?
NOPolymarket99%match84¢-100%
[Replying to @KobeissiLetter] @KobeissiLetter 80% chance the SpaceX IPO closes above $1 trillion. > BREAKING: SpaceX is set to hire Bank of America, Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Morgan Stanley to lead its IPO in 2026, per FT. The IPO is expected to be valued as much as $1.5 trillion, making it the largest IPO in history.
NOBenzinga99%match86¢-100%
SpaceX is targeting a mid-to-late 2026 IPO with a staggering $1.5 trillion valuation That would place it far ahead of today’s most valuable private companies - including OpenAI, ByteDance, and Anthropic - and make it one of the largest public market debuts ever.
YESBenzinga98%match14¢+614%
[Replying to @cb_doge] @cb_doge > SpaceX will be the most valuable company humans have ever built. On Earth and beyond.
YESBloomberg98%match20¢+400%
Elon Musk’s wealth has reached a new high, topping $600 billion for the first time on the back of a new valuation for SpaceX. : Stefani Reynolds/Bloomberg
NOBenzinga98%match80¢-100%
[Replying to @DimaZeniuk] @DimaZeniuk > SpaceX has completed a tender offer valuing the company at $800 billion, with shares priced at $421, according to Bloomberg
YESBenzinga98%match20¢+400%
[Replying to @KobeissiLetter] @KobeissiLetter > BREAKING: SpaceX has initiated a bake-off to select which investment banks will be the advisors for their IPO which is expected in 2026. Elon Musk is expected to become the world's first trillionaire within the next 12 months.
NOBloomberg98%match74¢-100%
Alphabet Inc. is set to book another sizable paper gain after SpaceX completes a tender offer that effectively values the closely held company at about $800 billion.
NOReuters98%match75¢-100%
Musk's Mars mission adds risk to red-hot SpaceX IPO
NOThe New York Times98%match74¢-100%
Breaking News: SpaceX offered to buy shares from employees in a deal that would value it at around $800 billion as it prepares to go public.
Where does the news lean?
17YES20NO6neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
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