SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?>$1.6T

ResolvedOutcome: YesVol$1.1MResolvedas of

Odds now

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

29 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .

YESRussian Media99%match93¢+8%
Elon Musk announced his intention to accelerate preparations for SpaceX's initial public offering. The company could file documents for the IPO in the coming days, and the offering itself would be the largest in stock market history, Bloomberg reported, citing sources. Musk explained that he was in Texas and personally preparing the deal. According to Bloomberg sources, the company expects to raise up to $75 billion at a valuation of over $2 trillion. If confirmed, the offering would be the largest IPO in global history. SpaceX is among the contractors for US President Donald Trump's Golden Dome project. Max | Telegram | Newsletter | iOS App | Android [in reply to: Elon Musk will retain unlimited power in SpaceX after its IPO. Shareholders will be prohibited from filing class action lawsuits against the company, its directors, officers, and controlling shareholders. Musk will be able to control the election and removal of the majority of board members. The only person who can fire Musk as head of SpaceX will be the businessman himself, since after the IPO he will retain control of 42.5% of the company's shares and 83.8% of the voting shares. White House Max | Telegram | Newsletter | iOS App | Android
YEStechstartups.com99%match91¢+10%
BlackRock eyes up to $10B in SpaceX IPO as Musk’s rocket empire targets $1.75 trillion valuation
YESstockmktnewz98%match75¢+33%
SpaceX is rumored to be going public at a $2 Trillion valuation … at $2T SpaceX would be the 6th largest public company in the world • • Nvidia $NVDA ($4.3T market cap) • Apple $AAPL ($3.8T) • Google $GOOGL ($3.6T) • 4. Microsoft $MSFT ($2.8T) • 5. Amazon $AMZN ($2.3T) • 6. SpaceX ($2T)*
YESnikkei.com99%match73¢+37%
SpaceX's market capitalization reaches "M7 level" with an IPO in June, potentially reaching 280 trillion yen.
YEShandelsblatt.com98%match72¢+39%
$1.75 trillion – Musk apparently announces record IPO for SpaceX
NOBenzinga98%match46¢-100%
[Replying to @Benzinga] > Elon Musk moved closer to potentially becoming the world’s first trillionaire after merging SpaceX with his artificial intelligence firm xAI. The deal values the combined company at $1.25 trillion and has pushed Musk’s estimated net worth to roughly $845 billion. The merger…
NOBenzinga98%match59¢-100%
Elon Musk's $1.25 Trillion SpaceX-xAI Merger Reportedly Designed To Protect IPO Timeline While Minimizing Financial Risk: Here's How
NOBenzinga98%match59¢-100%
Elon Musk reportedly designed SpaceX’s acquisition of xAI to protect its IPO plans while limiting financial and legal risk. According to Reuters, the deal values the combined operation at about $1.25 trillion and is structured to keep SpaceX’s public market timeline intact.…
YESBenzinga99%match44¢+127%
Speculation around a SpaceX IPO is intensifying after Elon Musk merged SpaceX with xAI in a deal valued near $1.25 trillion. The transaction has fueled expectations that SpaceX could go public as early as June, potentially reshaping the global equity landscape. Prediction market…
NOBenzinga98%match56¢-100%
[Replying to @DimaZeniuk] @DimaZeniuk > SpaceX is now valued at $1.25 trillion
YESBenzinga99%match44¢+127%
[Replying to @Benzinga] > Speculation around a SpaceX IPO is intensifying after Elon Musk merged SpaceX with xAI in a deal valued near $1.25 trillion. The transaction has fueled expectations that SpaceX could go public as early as June, potentially reshaping the global equity landscape. Prediction market…
NOBenzinga99%match56¢-100%
[Replying to @Benzinga] Speculation around a SpaceX IPO is intensifying after Elon Musk merged SpaceX with xAI in a deal valued near $1.25 trillion. The transaction has fueled expectations that SpaceX could go public as early as June, potentially reshaping the global equity landscape. Prediction market… >
NOPolymarket99%match61¢-100%
[Replying to @WatcherGuru] @WatcherGuru 34% chance SpaceX IPO closes above $2 Trillion. > JUST IN: Elon Musk's SpaceX and xAI valued at $1.25 trillion following merger.
YESPolymarket99%match39¢+156%
JUST IN: SpaceX now owns xAI which now owns 𝕏 — meaning 𝕏 is projected to IPO again this year. 76% chance.
NOStocktwits99%match61¢-100%
SpaceX reportedly confirms xAI merger valued at $1.25 trillion
YESunusual_whales98%match39¢+156%
BREAKING: Elon Musk plans to merge SpaceX with xAI, per Bloomberg, with SpaceX, xAI valued at $1.25 trillion.
NOFinancialJuice98%match61¢-100%
SpaceX and Xai are valued at $1.25 trillion - Company Memo.
NO*Walter Bloomberg98%match61¢-100%
MUSK PLANS SPACE-AI MEGA MERGER Elon Musk plans to merge SpaceX with xAI, according to sources. The move supports his ambitions in AI and space. The decision was shared internally. SpaceX is also preparing an IPO that could raise up to $50 billion and value the company at $1.5…
YESWatcher.Guru99%match39¢+156%
BREAKING: Elon Musk's SpaceX to merge with xAI, Bloomberg reports.
YESunusual_whales99%match39¢+156%
Polymarket expects SpaceX to IPO this year with a marketcap in the trillions. [Quoting @PolymarketMoney] > SPACEX MARKET CAP PROJECTED TO HIT $1,400,000,000,000.00 How high can it go?
NOStocktwits99%match61¢-100%
SpaceX market cap to the moon @PolymarketMoney [Quoting @PolymarketMoney] > SPACEX MARKET CAP PROJECTED TO HIT $1,400,000,000,000.00 How high can it go?
YESzerohedge99%match39¢+156%
SpaceX looking at a $1 Trillion + IPO, would be the biggest ever [Quoting @PolymarketMoney] > SPACEX MARKET CAP PROJECTED TO HIT $1,400,000,000,000.00 How high can it go?
YESPolymarket99%match39¢+156%
SPACEX MARKET CAP PROJECTED TO HIT $1,400,000,000,000.00 How high can it go?
YESBenzinga99%match24¢+317%
[Replying to @Teslaconomics] @Teslaconomics > I honestly believe SpaceX is going to be the BIGGEST IPO the stock market has ever seen and I don’t think the market and many people fully understands what’s coming yet. People keep throwing around numbers like $1-1.5 trillion, which already sounds massive (Tesla’s market cap…
NOBenzinga99%match78¢-100%
SpaceX is targeting a mid-to-late 2026 IPO with a staggering $1.5 trillion valuation That would place it far ahead of today’s most valuable private companies - including OpenAI, ByteDance, and Anthropic - and make it one of the largest public market debuts ever.
YESBenzinga98%match23¢+335%
[Replying to @cb_doge] @cb_doge > SpaceX will be the most valuable company humans have ever built. On Earth and beyond.
NOBloomberg98%match80¢-100%
Elon Musk’s wealth has reached a new high, topping $600 billion for the first time on the back of a new valuation for SpaceX. : Stefani Reynolds/Bloomberg
NOBenzinga98%match80¢-100%
[Replying to @DimaZeniuk] @DimaZeniuk > SpaceX has completed a tender offer valuing the company at $800 billion, with shares priced at $421, according to Bloomberg
YESBenzinga98%match20¢+400%
[Replying to @KobeissiLetter] @KobeissiLetter > BREAKING: SpaceX has initiated a bake-off to select which investment banks will be the advisors for their IPO which is expected in 2026. Elon Musk is expected to become the world's first trillionaire within the next 12 months.

Where does the news lean?

18YES13NO5neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.

How did this market resolve?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.

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