SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

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This hub tracks 16 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.

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Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

>$1T100%
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What moved the odds?

30 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .

>$1.4TRussian Media99%match95¢+5%
Elon Musk announced his intention to accelerate preparations for SpaceX's initial public offering. The company could file documents for the IPO in the coming days, and the offering itself would be the largest in stock market history, Bloomberg reported, citing sources. Musk explained that he was in Texas and personally preparing the deal. According to Bloomberg sources, the company expects to raise up to $75 billion at a valuation of over $2 trillion. If confirmed, the offering would be the largest IPO in global history. SpaceX is among the contractors for US President Donald Trump's Golden Dome project. Max | Telegram | Newsletter | iOS App | Android [in reply to: Elon Musk will retain unlimited power in SpaceX after its IPO. Shareholders will be prohibited from filing class action lawsuits against the company, its directors, officers, and controlling shareholders. Musk will be able to control the election and removal of the majority of board members. The only person who can fire Musk as head of SpaceX will be the businessman himself, since after the IPO he will retain control of 42.5% of the company's shares and 83.8% of the voting shares. White House Max | Telegram | Newsletter | iOS App | Android
>$1.2TRussian Media99%match98¢+2%
Elon Musk announced his intention to accelerate preparations for SpaceX's initial public offering. The company could file documents for the IPO in the coming days, and the offering itself would be the largest in stock market history, Bloomberg reported, citing sources. Musk explained that he was in Texas and personally preparing the deal. According to Bloomberg sources, the company expects to raise up to $75 billion at a valuation of over $2 trillion. If confirmed, the offering would be the largest IPO in global history. SpaceX is among the contractors for US President Donald Trump's Golden Dome project. Max | Telegram | Newsletter | iOS App | Android [in reply to: Elon Musk will retain unlimited power in SpaceX after its IPO. Shareholders will be prohibited from filing class action lawsuits against the company, its directors, officers, and controlling shareholders. Musk will be able to control the election and removal of the majority of board members. The only person who can fire Musk as head of SpaceX will be the businessman himself, since after the IPO he will retain control of 42.5% of the company's shares and 83.8% of the voting shares. White House Max | Telegram | Newsletter | iOS App | Android
>$1.6TRussian Media99%match93¢+8%
Elon Musk announced his intention to accelerate preparations for SpaceX's initial public offering. The company could file documents for the IPO in the coming days, and the offering itself would be the largest in stock market history, Bloomberg reported, citing sources. Musk explained that he was in Texas and personally preparing the deal. According to Bloomberg sources, the company expects to raise up to $75 billion at a valuation of over $2 trillion. If confirmed, the offering would be the largest IPO in global history. SpaceX is among the contractors for US President Donald Trump's Golden Dome project. Max | Telegram | Newsletter | iOS App | Android [in reply to: Elon Musk will retain unlimited power in SpaceX after its IPO. Shareholders will be prohibited from filing class action lawsuits against the company, its directors, officers, and controlling shareholders. Musk will be able to control the election and removal of the majority of board members. The only person who can fire Musk as head of SpaceX will be the businessman himself, since after the IPO he will retain control of 42.5% of the company's shares and 83.8% of the voting shares. White House Max | Telegram | Newsletter | iOS App | Android
>$2TRussian Media99%match77¢+30%
Elon Musk announced his intention to accelerate preparations for SpaceX's initial public offering. The company could file documents for the IPO in the coming days, and the offering itself would be the largest in stock market history, Bloomberg reported, citing sources. Musk explained that he was in Texas and personally preparing the deal. According to Bloomberg sources, the company expects to raise up to $75 billion at a valuation of over $2 trillion. If confirmed, the offering would be the largest IPO in global history. SpaceX is among the contractors for US President Donald Trump's Golden Dome project. Max | Telegram | Newsletter | iOS App | Android [in reply to: Elon Musk will retain unlimited power in SpaceX after its IPO. Shareholders will be prohibited from filing class action lawsuits against the company, its directors, officers, and controlling shareholders. Musk will be able to control the election and removal of the majority of board members. The only person who can fire Musk as head of SpaceX will be the businessman himself, since after the IPO he will retain control of 42.5% of the company's shares and 83.8% of the voting shares. White House Max | Telegram | Newsletter | iOS App | Android
>$2.4TRussian Media99%match54¢+85%
Elon Musk announced his intention to accelerate preparations for SpaceX's initial public offering. The company could file documents for the IPO in the coming days, and the offering itself would be the largest in stock market history, Bloomberg reported, citing sources. Musk explained that he was in Texas and personally preparing the deal. According to Bloomberg sources, the company expects to raise up to $75 billion at a valuation of over $2 trillion. If confirmed, the offering would be the largest IPO in global history. SpaceX is among the contractors for US President Donald Trump's Golden Dome project. Max | Telegram | Newsletter | iOS App | Android [in reply to: Elon Musk will retain unlimited power in SpaceX after its IPO. Shareholders will be prohibited from filing class action lawsuits against the company, its directors, officers, and controlling shareholders. Musk will be able to control the election and removal of the majority of board members. The only person who can fire Musk as head of SpaceX will be the businessman himself, since after the IPO he will retain control of 42.5% of the company's shares and 83.8% of the voting shares. White House Max | Telegram | Newsletter | iOS App | Android
>$1.4Tforbes.com99%match95¢+5%
SpaceX Could Face ‘Musk Effect’ With Major Risks After IPO, Analyst Warns. • The aerospace firm is expected to have the largest stock debut ever.
>$1.2Tforbes.com99%match98¢+2%
SpaceX Could Face ‘Musk Effect’ With Major Risks After IPO, Analyst Warns. • The aerospace firm is expected to have the largest stock debut ever.
>$2.2Tforbes.com99%match39¢+156%
SpaceX Could Face ‘Musk Effect’ With Major Risks After IPO, Analyst Warns. • The aerospace firm is expected to have the largest stock debut ever.
>$2.4Tforbes.com99%match54¢+85%
SpaceX Could Face ‘Musk Effect’ With Major Risks After IPO, Analyst Warns. • The aerospace firm is expected to have the largest stock debut ever.
>$1Tmarketwatch99%match97¢+3%
Wall Street is set to reap a fee bonanza that could reach $1 billion from the SpaceX IPO
>$1.4Tmarketwatch99%match94¢+6%
Wall Street is set to reap a fee bonanza that could reach $1 billion from the SpaceX IPO
>$1.2Tmarketwatch99%match98¢+2%
Wall Street is set to reap a fee bonanza that could reach $1 billion from the SpaceX IPO
>$1.6Tmarketwatch99%match91¢+10%
Wall Street is set to reap a fee bonanza that could reach $1 billion from the SpaceX IPO
>$1.8Tmarketwatch99%match88¢+14%
Wall Street is set to reap a fee bonanza that could reach $1 billion from the SpaceX IPO
>$1.4Tproactive_x99%match94¢+6%
$OPAI SpaceX targets history's largest IPO as Musk prepares to take his rocket and AI empire public @OpenAI #OPAI
>$1.2Tproactive_x99%match98¢+2%
$OPAI SpaceX targets history's largest IPO as Musk prepares to take his rocket and AI empire public @OpenAI #OPAI
>$1.6Tproactive_x99%match91¢+10%
$OPAI SpaceX targets history's largest IPO as Musk prepares to take his rocket and AI empire public @OpenAI #OPAI
>$1.8Tproactive_x99%match85¢+18%
$OPAI SpaceX targets history's largest IPO as Musk prepares to take his rocket and AI empire public @OpenAI #OPAI
>$2.2Tproactive_x99%match57¢-100%
$OPAI SpaceX targets history's largest IPO as Musk prepares to take his rocket and AI empire public @OpenAI #OPAI
>$1Ttechstartups.com99%match98¢+2%
BlackRock eyes up to $10B in SpaceX IPO as Musk’s rocket empire targets $1.75 trillion valuation
>$1.4Ttechstartups.com99%match94¢+6%
BlackRock eyes up to $10B in SpaceX IPO as Musk’s rocket empire targets $1.75 trillion valuation
>$1.6Ttechstartups.com99%match91¢+10%
BlackRock eyes up to $10B in SpaceX IPO as Musk’s rocket empire targets $1.75 trillion valuation
>$1.8Ttechstartups.com99%match15¢-100%
BlackRock eyes up to $10B in SpaceX IPO as Musk’s rocket empire targets $1.75 trillion valuation
>$2.2Ttechstartups.com99%match43¢+133%
BlackRock eyes up to $10B in SpaceX IPO as Musk’s rocket empire targets $1.75 trillion valuation
>$3Ttechstartups.com99%match83¢+20%
BlackRock eyes up to $10B in SpaceX IPO as Musk’s rocket empire targets $1.75 trillion valuation
>$1Ttheverge.com99%match93¢+8%
The SpaceX IPO is a trillion-dollar gamble on the future of space
>$1.2Tmarketnews_feed99%match93¢+8%
SPACEX'S IPO MAY BOOST THE SPACE INDUSTRY WITH A VALUE EXCEEDING $2 TRILLION. ...
>$2Tmarketnews_feed99%match53¢+89%
SPACEX'S IPO MAY BOOST THE SPACE INDUSTRY WITH A VALUE EXCEEDING $2 TRILLION. ...
>$3Tmarketnews_feed99%match80¢+25%
SPACEX'S IPO MAY BOOST THE SPACE INDUSTRY WITH A VALUE EXCEEDING $2 TRILLION. ...
>$1.2Tfirstsquawk99%match93¢+8%
SPACEX'S IPO MAY BOOST THE SPACE INDUSTRY WITH A VALUE EXCEEDING $2 TRILLION.

What is this event about?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.

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