Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in September50+ bps increase
ResolvedOutcome: No$22Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
11 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Australia’s central bank on Tuesday raised policy rates to 4.6%, the highest level in 15 years, as the country looks to contain inflation stoked by the Middle East conflict. • • The Reserve Bank of Australia has now raised rates four times this year by a total 100 basis points as inflation remains sticky. • • Here's what the central bank had to say about its decision:
Reserve Bank of Australia raises interest rates to 4.6%, the highest level in 15 years.
Reserve Bank of Australia raises interest rates for the first time in three meetings to 4.6%, the highest level since 2011.
RBA lifts interest rates 0.25pc to 4.6pc
RBA interest rates: Reserve Bank hikes cash rate to 4.6%, the highest level since 2011
RBA Raises Cash Rate Target By 25bps to 4.6%, As Expected
NONews98%match100¢
Reserve Bank of Australia raises interest rates by 0.25%, bringing policy rate to 4.60% – as expected by the market.
NONews94%match100¢
*RBA RAISES CASH RATE TARGET BY 25BPS TO 4.60%; EST. 4.60%
NOReuters98%match100¢
Reserve Bank of Australia : at Its Meeting Today, the Board Decided to Increase the Cash Rate Target by 25 Basis Points to 4.60 Per Cent
NOReuters93%match100¢
Reserve Bank of Australia Sets Cash Rate at 4.60%
NOdbnews94%match100¢
*RBA RAISES CASH RATE TARGET BY 25BPS TO 4.6%; EST. 4.60%
Where does the news lean?
0YES15NO12neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 95%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the cash rate target resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Reserve Bank of Australia, including the statement or release from its September 2026 meeting, scheduled for September 28-29, 2026, as listed on the official RBA calendar (https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/calendar/?topics=monetary-policy-board). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board resulting from its September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting.
If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
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See all outcomes for Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in September — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.